According to Zogby, Obama is expanding his lead (51%-37%) in North Carolina and may even be jumping ahead in Indiana. His number for today in Indiana is Obama leading 45%-43%. But he says that Monday night’s single total actually had him beating Clinton 47%-41%, which would suggest possible late movement into an actual lead. But he’s really still an outlier, even though a couple late polls yesterday had only a five point margin for Hillary. (SurveyUSA had a 12 point margin for Hillary.)
If Zogby has this one nailed there will be lots of crowing. But given his record this year I’ll believe it when I see it.
I fondly remember my own personal Zogby epiphany moment. I don’t recall who my interlocutor was. But I told this person that the thing with Zogby was that he relatively frequently nailed final totals right on the nose, even if pretty frequently his numbers were way off. To which my friend very wisely responded, “Josh, that means he sucks.” And I thought, “Hmmm, I guess that’s right.”
