Can Reid Still Win?

November 1, 2010 7:20 am

I mentioned this in passing over the weekend. But something odd is up in Nevada. Notwithstanding an overnight PPP poll showing the Senate contest basically back to neck-n-neck, the polls have shown pretty unambiguously that Sharron Angle has finally managed to open up a small but significant lead over Harry Reid.

But something weird happened over the last 48 hours or so. I’m not sure whether it’s “first” but somewhere in the mix, Jon Ralston, the dean of the Nevada political reporters said that all the evidence to the contrary notwithstanding, he think Reid’s going to pull it out. I’ve heard some scattered chatter from people on the ground in the state saying the same thing. And it’s not clear to me whether they’re picking up on Ralston or Ralston’s picking up on them — probably a mix of the two.

The only concrete evidence I can see is what appears to have been a very late surge of early Democratic voting in the state. But as we were monitoring campaign coverage over the weekend on the cable nets, I sensed an unmistakable shift in the media narrative. More or less out of the blue people were talking about Reid as still in it, maybe even holding the dominant hand in the race.

I don’t really have any take of my own here. Because I’m not there. And if there’s any evidence to contradict the polls, I think you’ve got to be there on the ground to see it. But somehow a lot of pretty sharp people think Reid’s going to do this thing.

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