Hello, it’s the weekend. This is The Weekender ☕
Next week will mark one month since the D.C. Circuit held oral arguments in Trump’s D.C. Jan. 6 case. Until that’s concluded, the D.C. case — and its trial date — will remain frozen.
Every day that the court does not rule is another day of delay for the trial. Once the D.C. Circuit issues its ruling on Trump’s claim that he is immune from prosecution for acts he undertook while President, there may be more delay before it goes back on track to trial at the district court level. Depending on how the D.C. Circuit rules, Trump could ask the entire D.C. Circuit for a ruling; he could also appeal to the Supreme Court.
Depending on the breaks, that could add up to months more of delay.
I’ve been covering the legal matters around Trump for years now. In the Mueller investigation, in the civil cases fighting congressional subpoenas, in the Manhattan grand jury investigation, and in the post-2020 federal criminal cases, Trump has used delay as a centerpiece of his defense. The urgency ebbs away, people lose interest, succumb to pressure. It’s worked.
Jack Smith and some of the judges who have encountered the cases he’s brought have responded with urgency. Tanya Chutkan, the district court judge in the Jan. 6 case, certainly did; the same does not go for the entire three-judge panel on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals which is mulling Trump’s case. Judge Karen Henderson, a George H.W. Bush appointee, was the sole judge on the panel to oppose expediting the case.
For the rarified world of appellate law, it’s a little odd for there to be intense public scrutiny on a panel, and particularly on the thorny question of whether one judge can hold up a decision even if the other two are ready to go. I delved into the question of delay back in October 2022, looking at a case before the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals which took seven years before the panel ruled.
Trump doesn’t need extreme delay from the court. What he needs is a lack of urgency — just enough delay to get him past November, not enough to appear improper. It’s a narrow zone, and one which we appear to be entering.