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Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

Like many others I’ve been thinking a lot about the future of liberal democracy over the last three years. I have many thoughts, as they say. But for now I want to share a few articles with you about the future of the American right and particularly a wing of the American right which seems increasingly soured on pluralism and democracy itself.

Big topic, of course. So let me try to hit on one angle into it and get us started with a few links.

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The Daily Beast has a story out today that Think Progress, the progressive news site which is part of the The Center for American Progress, faces a vast budget shortfall of something like $3 million. The story says TP experienced a 40% decline in ad revenues in just one year. This has spurred a new flurry of conversation about the financial woes of the news media and the particular claim that the news industry somehow used the platforms (Google, Facebook, Twitter, etc.) as crutches or outsourced their traffic and distribution and monetization to the platforms and now have only themselves to blame.

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TPM Reader GH makes a pitch for Arizona rather than Wisconsin as the real tipping point state in 2020. For me I’m still inclined to see Wisconsin as the critical state, not because I disagree with any of the particular arguments, simply we’ve seen Dems win it before in recent history. There’s a proof of concept for lack of a better phrase. But these are still very good points worth considering …

I love the work you do. I was so happy to read about your union, and I’m even more supportive of TPM because of it.

On the criticality of Wisconsin, I do agree that it’s looking more like the critical state in comparison to Michigan and Pennsylvania. But Arizona really looks like it’s ready for purple Prime Time. The two states (WI/AZ) are worth nearly the same amount of electoral votes, making them interchangeable for 2020 purposes. And in the 2018 races, the two big headliners in each state wound up as very close Dem victories. Sinema actually beat McSally by more than Evers beat Walker. (2 points in AZ, 1 point in WI)

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I don’t agree with a number of the points TPM Reader RS makes. But I think he hits on a key point on the mismatch between the expectations of at least engaged Democratic partisans and what they’ve seen since the midterm elections. The degree to which congressional Democrats really have it within their power to do more is another question. But the mismatch of expectations and reality is real and a pretty big issue …

We should devote more attention to the mismatch between expectations by those who voted for Democratic House candidates in 2018 and the slow walking approach of House Democrats since January. We think too much about how Trump feeds his base, and not enough on how his blocking of Congressional investigations has a side benefit for Republicans: demonstrating to Democratic voters that they are wasting their time turning out because his side is just plain stronger and tougher.

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The 2020 presidential election is an election with everything on the line for the United States. Four years of Trump is a national disaster. Eight years is a confirmation that it was no fluke. It embeds his degenerate style of government in the fabric of the Republic for the future. For those of us who believe in civic republicanism and a liberal future, no stone can be left unturned to ensure his defeat. It’s not just that the stakes are so high. He has big advantages in the electoral college. Incumbents usually get reelected. And let’s be frank: he already did once what many of us thought was all but impossible.

But we’d be lying to ourselves if we didn’t recognize another possible scenario, one which a lot of the factual evidence suggests is not at all unlikely. That is that Trump is a historically unpopular president; he routinely polls over 50 percent of the voting population saying they will definitely vote against his reelection; and he is likely to be crushed in his bid for reelection in 18 months.

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Earlier this week TPM Reader RS suggested something similar to what Jerry Nadler seems to be pushing for, but with a significant difference …

I think I’m personally in line with the article you posted yesterday, I think, by Adam Jentelson about the political advantages of impeaching even if conviction is a foregone conclusion, but I also agree with your post today that the House shouldn’t put a timeline on it.

I also think they need to do something to break out of the messaging box that they’re in, particularly since it appears that “ordinary” oversight isn’t quite getting the job done (largely due to unprecedented obstruction by the Administration).

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Ok, it’s on, I suppose …

It seems that years of Fox News false binaries have created a kind of a universal false binary narrative that everyone, even us vaunted liberals, seem to be unable to avoid using. TPM reader AX is just an example. She tells us that she deeply dislikes his abortion position, but because he’s the only former Vice President in the race, we have to sublimate those concerns (and others) because ‘experience’ and particularly ‘foreign policy’.

This is, frankly, insane.

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