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Midterm Miscellany #2

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November 5, 2018 10:56 a.m.
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Another bullet point list of late updates.

First: All the big pollsters come out with final national soundings on Sunday or Monday before an election. We now have most of them. As I noted yesterday we had two premium polls yesterday morning and they were okay for Democrats but in my mind much too close for comfort: ABC/WAPO (8 point margin) NBC/WSJ (7 point margin). We now have a bunch more. CNN’s poll shows a 13 point margin. A number of others show results ranging from 11 to 9 to 3 to 15. The upshot of all of these – if not a pure average since they’re pollsters of varying qualities – is about where we’ve been, a high single point advantage for the Dems.

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