Okay, here’s a question. Over the last couple decades I can think of a few individuals who Bob Woodward has ruled out as being Deep Throat. He declined to rule out Pat Buchanan over the weekend. Is anyone aware of an instance between the mid-1970s and last weekend when Woodward similarly declined to rule out a possible Deep Throat candidate when questioned on the matter directly?
If so, please let me know.
Okay, I was positive Deep Throat was Patrick J. Buchanan, as I argued and explained in the previous post. Then I got an email from a Talking Points reader who told me that on Hardball tonight Buchanan “gave a rousing denial to Chris Matthews.”
I didn’t think that killed my theory; but I’d be lying if I told you it didn’t seem to land a pretty solid left hook on it. After all, Deep Throat has an obvious reason to lie about his role. The fact that Woodward would so conspicuously refuse to deny the allegation still spoke volumes.
In any case, I flipped on Hardball for the 9 PM replay and watched attentively and with no little apprehension until Buchanan and David Gergen were interviewed in the last two segments.
And now I’m even more positive that it’s Buchanan.
I’ll post the transcript when I get it and then we’ll know word for word. But, as I heard it, Buchanan gave a very artful but also quite clear non-denial denial. I listened very closely for any sort of specific declarative denial. And I never heard it. Gergen denied it; but not Pat.
He said he wouldn’t hang out in a basement parking garage to meet a reporter, that the Nixon loyalists wouldn’t have betrayed Nixon, yada, yada, yada. But no denial.
Look, the real denial talks and ‘yada’ walks. Or something like that. Okay, that didn’t work. But the bottom line, if it’s not him why no real denial?
And for Chris Matthews? You totally didn’t follow up! What’s it now? “I’m Chris Matthews. Let’s play T-ball”?
P.S. Late update: Another reader now writes in to tell me that Buchanan gave an “unqualified denial
to Chris Wallace later on MSNBC.” We’ll see. I mean, I want to confirm this, if true. But to find out I’d have to sit down on the couch and watch hours of MSNBC? Is it really worth it?
P.P.S … Okay, now I have listened to what turns out to have been Forrest Sawyer’s interview with Buchanan on MSNBC. And after a few yadas, Sawyer pressed Buchanan and he responded by what I heard as “I, Patrick Buchanan, am not Deep Throat.” But, frankly, I’m not yet convinced.
Oh, Man, is Deep Throat ever Pat Buchanan!!!
If you’ve been watching the mild commemorations of Watergate over the last few days you’ll know that John Dean is coming out with a list of several new possible Deep Throat suspects. One of the guys on his shortlist is Pat Buchanan. And a journalism class at the University of Illinois, working under the supervision of Pulitzer Prize-winning former reporter William Gaines, undertook an extremely detailed investigation of all the available evidence and produced what I thought was an very compelling argument that Deep Throat was Pat Buchanan.
But good arguments are a dime a dozen.
What started to catch my attention this weekend was that no one seemed to be able to get Buchanan on the phone to deny it. Nor was Woodward denying it, something he had been willing to do with several others accused of being Deep Throat over the last couple decades.
Just now on Wolf Blitzer’s show, Wolf rightly pointed to this reluctance on Woodward’s part and the veteran Postie responded with a mealy-mouthed rationale: the pool of potential suspects is getting smaller and smaller, and if he keeps eliminating people pretty soon only one person will be left.
Sorry. That doesn’t wash.
It’s a good argument, one that’s always occurred to me when Woodward has ruled people out in the past. But why adopt it now after scratching so many people off the list?
I think it’s just what an honest reporter (I have many criticisms of Woodward, but I don’t have any on this count) who wants to protect his sources does when he is caught dead to rights. It’s a lame argument so late in the game but it’s the best he can do when faced with the question.
Even more convincing, however, is Buchanan’s demonstrable unwillingness to deny it.
Have you ever seen Buchanan hide from a microphone? Of course not. If he’s such a Nixon loyalist why isn’t he rushing forth to deny it and even demanding Woodward do the same? Is Pat’s phone disconnected? Has everyone forgotten the address of his home over in McLean, Virginia? He hasn’t been able to return the calls yet? Please.
His unwillingness to deny it seals the deal as far as I’m concerned.
And there’s one more clue that nails it shut. (Sorry for the mixed metaphor but I’m trying to get this posted ASAP.)
One of the great mysteries of Watergate and Deep Throat’s identity is why exactly he’s wanted to remain anonymous for so long. I mean, during Watergate? Sure. For a while after? Fine. But ten, twenty, thirty years later? Deep Throat may be an odd figure in American history. But for most he’d be a hero, someone who turned on a corrupt administration, the ultimate whistleblower, etc.
After all this time, why wouldn’t this person come forward to get some of the limelight?
It’s hard to figure … unless he was someone still operating in those Republican circles where that sort of disloyalty would be very damning and even career-threatening. That is, unless it was someone like Patrick J. Buchanan.
Two fascinating articles (one from the Post and another in the Times) on the persistence of al Qaida and the way its loose, distributed organizational structure has allowed it to regroup for more attacks. They are both really must-reads.
Here’s one question I have: why is it that once caught al Qaeda operatives so often seem to talk so freely? No doubt, those who get interrogated in places like Morocco (as those discussed in the Post article) get treated to some very persuasive questioning techniques.
But even the ones in American custody frequently seem to talk up a storm once they’re questioned. (But wait! Don’t you think the scene down in Guantanamo is like something out of a Hieronymus Bosch painting? No, not really.)
I’m not sure what I think of that.
The priest abuse scandal is certainly the biggest scandal in the Catholic Church today; but it’s not the only one. What about the shameless puffery and preening deceptions of this man, Edward Cardinal Egan, the SO CALLED ‘Archbishop of New York’?
Like most other people inclined to believe the best about people, I had always assumed that when Edward Egan called himself Archbishop of New York that that meant he was really the Archbishop of New York, as in the Archbishop of the five boroughs.
The truth, I’m sorry to say, turns out to be very, very different.
As you can see from this map, Archbishop Egan’s territory includes only Manhattan, the Bronx and Staten Island. Most of his archdiocese — if not most of his parishioners — is actually out in the suburbs in places like Westchester and Rockland and Dutchess counties. So even though Egan styles himself ‘Archbishop of New York’ he’s actually not Archbishop, or bishop for that matter, in Brooklyn or Queens.
Now certainly there are a lot of Catholics in Manhattan. But when I think of New York Catholics I think it’s the Outer Boroughs that most readily come to mind, don’t you?
So who’s this other Bishop of New York? Well, that would be Thomas V. Daily, Bishop of Brooklyn. In fact, you don’t have to go much further than the title Daily goes by to see he’s cut from a very different cloth than his colleague on the other side of the river. While Egan is off showboating as ‘Archbishop of New York,’ Daily is content to go by the unassuming title of Bishop of Brooklyn. But in fact, he’s also bishop in Queens too!
So, who really deserves the title? Well, the website of the Diocese of Brooklyn says that Daily’s diocese caters to more than 1.8 million Catholics. I couldn’t find a number on the Archdiocese of New York’s website, but DCL Online (the “bi-weekly eLetter for Catholic professionals“) says Egan’s Archdiocese caters to more than 2.3 million Catholics. (Unlike the Diocese of Brooklyn’s website, the Archdiocese of New York’s doesn’t seem to have any page with statistics. But after what we’ve discussed, is that really a surprise?)
Now, Egan’s flock is clearly bigger — by about half a million people. But how many of those 2.3 million are real New Yorkers? Don’t you figure it’s possible that a half million or more of Egan’s flock are just folks from the suburbs? I’d say it’s pretty likely. And, if true, that would mean that Bishop Daily — content to go by Bishop of Brooklyn — is actually more a New York bishop than Egan.
Edward Egan. When will he come clean?
I haven’t read an article in some time with which I so quickly and reflexively agreed as this one by Mickey Kaus yesterday in Slate. As Mickey says in the piece, many people must have thought in their heart of hearts, but not been comfortable saying: I’m all for homeland security. But do we have to call it ‘homeland security’?
The phrase really does have a deep blood and soil tinge to it which is distinctly Germanic, more than a touch un-American, and a little creepy. I mean, we — that is to say, Americans — don’t really use this word — not just liberals or cosmopolitan Northeasterners, but really any of us. And even the concept is a little fishy from the perspective of American national culture. I would at least have understood if President Bush wanted to call it ‘heartland security‘ because I know he’s into that sort of thing. But ‘homeland security’? I mean, I guess fatherland security would have been worse. But it’s sort of a close call.
One reason to avoid this sort of terminology is that what we’re now calling homeland security has an inherently and likely unavoidable big-botherish tilt to it — I mean in the sense of increased policing and surveillance on the homefront and possibly even a slight militarization of domestic security. But if it has to have some of this tilt why add to it with the vaguely fascistic or at least teutonic verbiage?
Anyway, I’m going to try to make a point not to use the phrase any more on this site (I have less control over terminology in pieces I publish elsewhere). But after reading Mickey’s piece I was curious just how the phrase ‘homeland security’ got so popular.
The story goes something like this.
When the Bush administration came into office they were very big on what they called ‘Homeland Defense.’ By this they meant, essentially, National Missile Defense.
After 9/11 it became quite clear that we did indeed face serious threats on the homefront. But there were much more effective and easier ways for our enemies to attack us than to lob ICBMs from Baghdad or Pyongyang. Thus, the shift in policy and terminology to ‘homeland security.’
But ‘homeland defense’ didn’t start with the Bushies. The phrase really got into the public vocabulary with the release of “Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century,” a report on the future of the US military by something called the National Defense Panel.
The panel was appointed on February 6th 1997 by then-Secretary of Defense William Cohen but the panel itself was mandated FY 1997 Defense Authorization Act. In essence, this was the Republican Congress wanting another look taken at American defense priorities.
When the NDP reported back in December 1997 the gist of their report was that the US should be putting more priority on defense of the American mainland, though the report was equivocal on the question of missile defense as part of the equation. In any case, from that point onward, ‘homeland defense’ was a stock phrase in the vocabulary of national defense talk.
But where did the NDP pick up the ‘homeland defense’ phraseology? That’s not entirely clear. If you do database searches for the phrase pre-1997 the great majority of the hits you get are about South Africa, Germany, Russia and a series of other countries where you might expect this locution has a more natural appeal.
Looking closely, however, the NDP almost certainly got the phrase from National Missile Defense enthusiasts who had been using the term, albeit obscurely, since the mid-1980s. One of the earliest examples I could find, for instance, is a October 16, 1985 Heritage Foundation backgrounder by W. Bruce Weinrod in which the author helpfully notes that “In the mid-1960s, Soviet Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM) development made a U.S. homeland defense problematical.”
Another pro-SDI report released in December 1985 helpfully noted that “The side that solves homeland defense problems first, however, would be in the catbird seat.” Later, just after the Bush administration left office, the former head of the Strategic Defense Initiative Organization, Henry Cooper, wrote with frustration that the “Fragile support for a U.S. homeland defense is threatened by disharmony, and misrepresentations propagated to advocate parochial interests.”
All this fun stuff aside though, the phrase doesn’t seemed to have picked up much steam in the mainstream press — that is to say, outside of technical or policy journals, and particularly the defense policy press — until the early Clinton administration. Actually, the first example I saw of the phrase in a daily is an April 1st, 1994 Washington Times OpEd by none other than Strom Thurmond in which the old codger wrote the following lament …
The Clinton administration has said that worldwide proliferation of mass-destructive weapons is a top priority. But the administration has placed too little emphasis on the counter-proliferation value of missile defense and has demonstrated no sense of urgency in getting improved defenses into the field. A limited homeland defense is dead for all practical purposes, even though we could soon face a renewed threat from resurgent Russian nationalism and militarism. Worse yet, the administration appears willing to accept ABM Treaty limitations on theater missile defenses, the kind intended to protect our troops abroad and our allies from threats like that of North Korea.
Actually to my great chagrin, I later realized that a year earlier — also in the Washington Times — then-Senator Malcoln Wallop cautioned that efforts to build theater missile defense systems not “prevent us from building homeland defenses.” But between you and me, I’d rather just pretend Strom said it first because having the thing rolled out into the public debate by Strom Thurmond on April Fool’s Day is just a bit too good to pass up.
Anyway, let’s ditch ‘homeland security’ and come up with a more American phrase.
God, is it ever late. But this story is just too funny to pass up — and the dailies for some reason don’t run the really juicy detail. For some time now the Governor of the South Carolina has been pulling out every stop to prevent the federal government from depositing plutonium in his state — which I guess is pretty understandable. It’s sort of a mini-version of the whole controversy about Yucca Mountain out in Nevada, where they want to store all the spent nuclear power plant fuel.
Anyway, ever since John Calhoun’s time the South Carolinians have been ready to nullify federal laws and orders and generally lead their Southern brethren down the dark path of treason against the United States pretty much at the drop of a hat. Of course, Andrew Jackson made it clear you couldn’t do this about one hundred and seventy years ago and the Civil War sort of settled the matter for good about thirty years later. But yesterday South Carolina Governor Jim Hodges tried out a comedic latter-day version of nullification by declaring a state of emergency and basically outlawing any transit of weapons-grade plutonium on South Carolina roads and highways.
So if you have any and you were planning on driving it through South Carolina, well … don’t! Because you’re not allowed to do that anymore.
Anyway, what exactly Hodges is up to isn’t exactly clear. But part of his rationale is pretty damn funny. You’ll remember that Jose Padilla — gang-banger bad seed turned al Qaida bad seed — is now being held in a military prison down in South Carolina. Hodge’s new argument is basically this … Look, you’ve got the Padilla guy down here and you’re saying he was going to build a dirty bomb by stealing nuclear materials, right? And now you’re going to bring nuclear materials into the state? So close to Padilla? After he said he wants to make a dirty bomb? Hell, that’s just too dangerous. Too close. No can do. Sorry.
Look, I’m not making this up. Here are the first grafs of the governor’s executive order …
WHEREAS, according to U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft, a “known terrorist” with connections to al Qaeda who allegedly planned to build and explode a radioactive “dirty bomb” in the United States has been recently captured by federal authorities and is presently being detained as an enemy combatant in Charleston, South Carolina;
WHEREAS, a “dirty bomb” is a conventional incendiary device laced with radioactive materials that upon detonation scatters and disperses radioactive particles into the atmosphere, thereby exposing potentially thousands of persons to radiation;
WHEREAS, weapons-grade plutonium is a primary ingredient utilized in creating dirty bombs;
WHEREAS, the United States Department of Energy has publicly announced that it will begin sending truck shipments of weapons-grade plutonium to the Savannah River Site located in Aiken and Barnwell Counties, South Carolina as soon as June 15, 2002;
WHEREAS, when, in the Governor’s opinion, a danger exists to the person or property of any citizen and the peace and tranquility of the State or of any political subdivision or particular area of the State designated by him is threatened, the Governor shall declare an emergency and may take such measures and do all and every act and thing which he may deem necessary in order to prevent violence or threats of violence to the person or property of citizens of the State and to maintain peace, tranquility and good order, pursuant to Â§ 1-3-410, et seq., of the South Carolina Code of Law
Poor Ashcroft. Some posts just pretty much write themselves.
I guess it wouldn’t be Talking Points if I didn’t have readers writing in with various mixtures of surprise, bewilderment and scorn for the attention I give to the seemingly endless saga of Chandra Levy, the bouncy twenty-four-year-old Bureau of Prisons intern whose life was tragically cut short a bit more than a year ago by a person or persons unknown.
You certainly wouldn’t know it today. But back before a year ago, Gary Condit was the sort of pol that right-thinking Washington — the supercilious center — just loved. He decried partisanship. He decried Bill Clinton. He pretty much always said what your standard talking head wanted to hear.
So when a woman in DC went missing and it was pretty obvious that she was Condit’s girlfriend it pissed me off that pretty much everyone in town was giving the guy a pass — give a pass, that is, to someone who was always happy to dish a little cheap moralism for the usual suspects in the Washington press corps. Of course, later, for many the whole Condit thing got conflated with the Clinton thing, which I never really understood. And it’s sort of hard to think back now to a time when anybody was cutting Condit any slack. But that’s what sparked my original interest.
Last summer I had a decent number of readers write in and say that it was either disgusting or bizarre that I was giving the issue so much attention in these virtual pages. Or, at least as often, I’d hear that it was terrible that I was paying so much attention to something so trivial and meaningless when President Bush was running the country into the ditch.
I got a number of those today, actually. And I guess those comments just make me wonder why some people don’t seem to think there’s enough time in the day to think critically about national politics, the war on terrorism, and the still-baffling murder mystery which took place in one’s own town. Or the history of the Dutch Republic, for that matter, which is likely more intrinsically interesting than all of them wrapped together. But that’s another matter.
I guess the point is that this site is not only about politics or how bad the Bush administration is. It’s about a lot of things.
Anyway, one other point on Zacarias Moussaoui. Moussaoui is now telling the court that he was not involved in the 9/11 plot and that he can prove it. Now, I don’t know what Moussaoui can prove or not prove. Frankly, the guy seems a bit, as my grandmother used to say, ‘touched in the head.’ That aside though what’s really weird is that there’s a decent chance Moussaoui is telling the truth.
Don’t get me wrong. I don’t think Moussaoui is just some innocent. I have no doubt that he was here training for just the sort of mission the 9/11 guys pulled off. But was he part of that operation? There are actually a lot of intelligence and law enforcement types (a minority perhaps, but quite a few) who don’t think so.
What’s sort of chilling is that he might actually have been training for the next mission. And his associates — the ones who weren’t quite so obvious — might still be out there milling about.
Wow! Nice catch by TPM reader WG.
I’m never one who likes seeing speakers heckled or booed at college commencement speeches, pretty much no matter who they are.
But check out the last graf of this AP story on President Bush’s speech on volunteerism at Ohio State University today.
Bush was invited to speak at the Ohio State commencement by representatives of the graduating class. But immediately before class members filed into the giant football stadium, an announcer instructed the crowd that all the university’s speakers deserve to be treated with respect and that anyone demonstrating or heckling would be subject to expulsion and arrest. The announcer urged that Bush be greeted with a “thunderous” ovation.
Yikes. Talk about zero tolerance.
A couple reporter friends and I made a trip this morning up to the part of DC’s Rock Creek park where the remains of Chandra Levy were found a few weeks back. The quick and dirty story I can tell you pretty quickly: we didn’t see much.
Admittedly, I was hoping we’d maybe find a bone or maybe a Vote Gary! button or something. But ever since the Levy family investigators found Chandra’s shin last week (after it had — if you believe the DC Metro police — been planted there by a dead-beat racoon), the cops have been back in force cordoning the place off and not letting anyone get anywhere near it.
Why this matters exactly — since everyone and his brother had the run of the place for a week — isn’t exactly clear. But that’s how it is.
Anyway, a few observations.
First of all, we could not get close enough to see the specific area where the remains were found. But we could see enough to get a sense of the sort of area in which it happened, how dense the foliage is, how steep the incline is — stuff like that.
And here’s the deal, the foliage is really dense. The place in question may be as little as a few hundred yards from residential homes but you might as well be in the middle of a forest. Scratch the word ‘park’ from your consciousness when you think of the scene and replace it with the movie title ‘Deliverance.’
Second, there aren’t a lot of people around. My friends and I spent a while driving around that section of the park trying to find an access toward the crime scene that wasn’t blocked by a police car with a couple cops kickin’ it, working on a donut, or playing solitaire on the on-board laptop. In maybe twenty or thirty minutes of driving around the different little roads and by the numbered picnic grounds we saw a total of two people. One was a guy parked on the side of the road with a van. I had the sense that he was probably also dumping a body. So he wouldn’t have given anyone much grief. The other guy was either a homeless guy or a jogger. Or maybe he was a self-improving homeless jogger. It was a little unclear. Anyway, point being, we were there in the late morning. And I think you probably could have done a lot at that time of the day and not have worried that people were going to see you.
Third, there were a lot of cops tight around the crime scene. But it was hard not to get the sense that the reason they were there was that it was so *&$%@#& embarrassing to have missed the leg bone that they pretty much just had to go there and hang out for a few days and put up a lot of tape just to live the whole thing down.
Fourth, this is pretty speculative. But having seen the lay of the land here is what occurred to me. In the area in question there is basically a plateau where there are some picnic areas and some other places to hang out and either have a picnic, throw a ball around, have sex, or kill someone. Then sloping down from that plateau is a ravine that’s quite steep — in many places 45% or greater. And at the bottom is a tiny brook. Chandra’s body was found a bit more than half-way down one of those ravines. You can see most of this on this map from the Post.
From seeing the terrain, one thing that’s very clear is that no one took her body up the ravine. It’s just too steep and that would be the one place where someone could potentially see you. What sort of made intuitive sense to me, though, is that someone may have basically shoved the body over that ravine and then it rolled down to the approximate area in which it was found.
This is morbid, I admit. But that seemed to me like the most logical supposition.
One other point, from various circumstantial evidence, I think it’s quite clear that she went there to meet someone she knew. But we’ll get to that later. And I still have a hunch — and a bit of information — that tells me this case is going to blow open sooner rather than later.
TPM makes special personal visit to police-cordoned-off Chandra crime scene. More later tonight.
As you know, last Thursday’s surprise presidential announcement of a major restructuring of the nation’s homeland security apparatus was in no way connected to the testimony that day of FBI agent Coleen Rowley or poll slippage due the ever-mounting number of FBI screw-ups. In fact it was a triumph of leak-discipline pulled off by the Bush White House getting a jump on the bureaucracy by presenting the bureaucracy and the congress with an already-put-together blueprint for how it was all going to happen.
No doubt this is why Andy Card, Nick Calio and a few of Tom Ridge’s people yesterday had to tell a presumably somewhat bewildered group of congressional aides that the White House wouldn’t be able to send over any actual legislation for upwards of a month. (“Two to three weeks” is what the Post article actually says.)
(The Post reporter who just filed this story is none other than Dana Milbank, who wrote the earlier rather glowing piece on the White House secrecy triumph … catch-up for earlier ingenuousness? We report, you decide 😉 … )
Let’s not even try to carve any delicate humor out of this one. Clearly, if the ‘get the jump on the Hill and the bureaucracy’ line were even vaguely true, they would have had this done already. No question. The fact that they haven’t confirms — as much as anything like this ever can be confirmed — that they were trying to get a jump on the polls and the media cycle, not the ‘bureaucracy.’
And in case you’re wondering whether there was any poll number deterioration, check out this snippet from today’s Cook Report …
Then the last Gallup Poll, taken before the president’s Thursday night
announcement of a new Homeland Security Department, showed his approval
rating dropping seven points in a week, to 70 percent, the lowest since
Sept. 11, with his disapproval rating up six points to 23 percent, the
highest since the September tragedy. Although it’s dangerous to read too
much into any single poll, what in effect happened is that the Gallup
polling simply came into line with most other surveys that showed the
president in the low 70s and on the verge of dropping into the 60s —
still good numbers, but no longer considered “stratospheric.”
There was also an intangible that seemed to be taking hold before the
announcement. Pollsters and other political operatives had begun
suggesting that there was a certain uneasiness among Americans in recent
weeks, that things didn’t seem to be in control. There was a certain
frustration from the endless warnings of upcoming terrorist acts against
our country and that we still had not managed to track down Osama bin
Laden. In some private polling, but not in the Ipsos-Reid/Cook Political
Report samplings, there was also a drop in “right direction” numbers,
with the “wrong track” column surging. And even though it was not
directly rubbing off on the president, it was not what a president’s
advisers like to see happening.
Lucky for the White House the president really does have an aggressive polling operation. Or else they might not have seen this one coming.
Not to Josh Green: Buddy, move quick. You can probably squeeze a quick Oped out of this. The polling angle never dies!
Great (or not so great) moments from the TPM mailbag …
Russ H. to TPM
Sun, 9 Jun 2002 10:45:16 -0700
irrefutable facts I never see on your site as written by David Horowitz…
How The Left Undermined Americaâs Security
By David Horowitz
FrontPageMagazine.com | February 18, 2002
TPM to Russ H.
Sunday, June 09, 2002 8:36 AM
mr. horowitz is a reckless fool. i’m not going to slog through his article. but if you would like to point out some issues or examples he raises then I’d be happy to consider them. josh
Russ H. to TPM
Sun, 9 Jun 2002 10:58:23 -0700
Hello Mr. Josh:
No sir! The only reckless fool is you and your inept and inane whining that is showcased on your site proves it…
None the less, thanks for the reply…
If and when you leftist parasites ever get your act together then maybe you’ll be taken seriously…
Have a good day…
TPM to Russ H.
Sunday, June 09, 2002 8:54 AM
Okay, Russ. I tried to talk seriously with you. But clearly you’re an imbecile. You’re welcome to your laughable friend Horowitz. Josh
Russ H. to TPM
Mon, 10 Jun 2002 09:10:13 -0700
Well Good Morning you whining GORON:
Let’s see if this reply is up to the, “drivel standards” that is the norm for your site…
Well of course it is but that’s hardly a suprise coming from a someone who either was hypocritical enough or stupid enough to support Democrats and their whore, Gore…
I can see where your disgust with Horowitz is really a reflection of your inability to apply critical thinking but then again that would mean understanding of the basic facts…
We both know you leftist/liberal parasites have a real hard time with facts since it tends to undercut your positions everytime…
My one and only hope is that you don’t have kids…. It would be a crime against humanity for you to keep spreading that stupidity gene that so seems to have had a large part of forming what passes for your makeup and intelligence…
People of my political tendencies have many reasons for disliking former FBI Director Louis Freeh. He a) was an uptight moralizer who gave the Clinton White House no end of headaches, b) hobnobbed with Hill Republicans to no good purpose, and c) presided over an FBI which was responsible for a series of big time screw-ups which ended up creating even more headaches for the then-Clinton White House. Basically, Freeh inhabited a netherworld created by the antagonism between Bill Clinton and congressional Republicans in which accountability did not exist.
So Clinton partisans have reason to dislike him and want to saddle him with having left the FBI unprepared for 9/11. But, my god, you don’t have to look very hard to find lots of justification for doing so. I’ve been working for a bit more than a week on an article about problems with the FBI and US counter-terrorism efforts and the more I learn the less I think of Freeh. He really blew it. For everything that ended up counting on 9/11 he was a really big time disaster.
What’s ironic is that Mueller and George Tenet are the ones getting grilled because as nearly as I can tell they’re both pretty solid. In Mueller’s case he was already talking about doing stuff to clean up Freeh’s mess even before 9/11, even though he only took office slightly before then. As to Tenet, my reporting has also given me a better sense of him and the work that he’s done since he came in in 1997.
The whole idea of intelligence failures — how they come about, and how one properly structures an intelligence service — has quickly become central to much of the news we’re reading about the war on terrorism and the reorganization of the federal government.
I little while back I reviewed Ernest R. May’s recent book Strange Victory: Hitler’s Conquest of France, a study of one of the great intelligence failures of the 20th century: the French failure to predict the timing and and strategy of Hitler’s devastating lightning conquest.
It’s a great book. And May makes a strong argument that the Fall of France itself was principally due to this catastrophic intelligence failure.
But the book is also a crisp and clarifying exploration of how intelligence agencies can have lots of assets and lots of information but still not be able to use either effectively — often with fatal consequences.
This, of course, is precisely what seems to have been the case with America’s intelligence agencies in the lead-up to 9/11. And you can’t read May’s book — written in 2000 — without getting a very clear sense that he was quite aware of this. Here’s one snippet from the introduction …
The story is particularly well worth recalling now, for in the post-Cold War era, the United States and other seemingly victorious Western democracies exhibit many of the same characteristics that France and Britain did in 1938-40 — arrogance, a strong disinclination to risk life in battle, heavy reliance on technology as a substitute, and governmental procedures poorly designed for anticipating or coping with ingenious challenges from the comparatively weak.
If you want to think deeply about this whole question of intelligence failures and learn a lot about how not to organize and acculturate an intelligence service, read May’s book. It’s really, really good. And it’s the book to read on this subject.
“Honey, we’ve had this bone in the burrow for months now and we haven’t done anything with it. Do you mind if I toss it out to make room for other edibles and bric-a-brac?”
This isn’t a quote from today’s Washington Post article on the Chandra investigation.
But pretty damn close!
The DC police seem confident that they didn’t actually miss Chandra Levy’s leg bone in their search of the apparent crime scene in Rock Creek Park a couple weeks ago. What they actually think happened is that some animal had the bone in his or her burrow and just now decided to toss it. Chief Ramsey told the Post that …
there was a “very strong probability” that an animal indeed had retrieved it, possibly from a burrow. That hypothesis is based on information the police received from the National Zoo, which told investigators that the animals making this part of the park their home could have abandoned the area during the search and may have been replaced by others after police left. Under this theory, the bone may have been uncovered by an animal cleaning out an old den.
Man, you can’t make this stuff up.
The new focus on animal burrows and dens places the police in the difficult position of explaining why these were not searched more thoroughly. Ramsey said search teams looked in burrows and sometimes poked around with sticks. But he said they saw no need to dig them up until the appearance of the tibia. “Animals got hold of the bones; they’re scattered all over. They’re pulling them out of burrows,” Ramsey said.
Believe it or not this excuse may actually be more ridiculous than it appears on the surface. The idea seems to be that some animal had this bone in his collection for almost a year and then just in the mere week since the crack Chandra investigative team pulled out of his neighborhood he decided to toss it. Or perhaps he bugged out during the search and some new guy who moved into his den afterward decided he didn’t want the bone and decided to chuck it.
I mean, it’s not that this couldn’t’t have happened. But given what has come before, I think you’ve got to ask the following awkward but unavoidable question: Who has more credibility? The DC Metro Police? Or a small burrowing mammal?
The question pretty much answers itself, doesn’t it?
And further information from the Post article tends to confirm this. The bone was not found “in plain view. The bone was under a pile of leaves and embedded in the ground.” The fact that it was embedded in the ground makes the police/zoo geek hypothesis about its being a recent plant by a scofflaw animal seem pretty far-fetched, doesn’t it? Doesn’t it take more than a few days for a bone to get covered with leaves and imbedded in the ground?
A slightly less skeptical article in the Washington Times adds that Cmdr. Christopher LoJacono of the D.C. Police Forensic Science Division earlier said that the bone “substantial animal activity” and that police note the bone was found “within 3 feet of what appeared to be an animal’s den.”
What’s a bit sad about this is that I’ve always had the impression — and I still think this is true — that Chief Ramsey himself is a serious character. He was brought in from somewhere in the Midwest I think to shake the place up. But he’s only one man. And the ridiculousness of the DC Metro police is the combined work of many. The last graf of the Post article has Ramsey uttering this anguished lament.
“We’re working as hard as we can to find out who’s responsible for the murder of Chandra Levy,” Ramsey said at the news conference. “I wish we had found all the remains, but obviously we didn’t. . . . It’s easy for people to sit back and Monday morning quarterback.”
Buddy, you got that right.
According to Dana Milbank’s article in the Post, planning for yesterday’s announcement began on April 23rd — a contention which, if understood in any meaningful sense, I doubt. The idea apparently was to keep the plan secret for as long as possible from the “experts” and “bureaucrats” who will try to slow-roll and kill the plan. The price of that secrecy, however, was having the plan devised by four men — Chief of Staff Andrew H. Card Jr., Homeland Security Director Tom Ridge, White House counsel Alberto R. Gonzales and Office of Management and Budget Director Mitch Daniels — none of whom have any apparent knowledge or experience with law enforcement, counter-terrorism, intelligence or disaster preparedness.
What a coup.
Next up, the big four release their master-plan for information-sharing among key government agencies …
Egg, meet Tom Ridge’s face.
Tom Ridge’s face, meet egg.
Today Tom Ridge is telling everyone who will listen that the new plan for a cabinet-level Department of Homeland Security was the administration’s plan all along.
Here’s Ridge a bit more than a week ago telling a National Journal editorial board meeting that he’d advise the president to veto pretty much exactly the same plan.
I’ve had a few people write in to say I’ve jumped the gun or been irresponsibly critical of the DC cops in assuming that the human leg bone found yesterday near the Chandra crime scene actually belonged to Chandra Levy. Admittedly, not as many have written in saying that as have written in to say that the new TPM face shot makes the author look a) “too confrontational”, b) “menacing” or c) “like a serial killer.” But that’s for another post.
As to the bone, let me rattle off just the first three utterly devastating rejoinders to this criticism.
First, I made clear that the bone has not yet been DNA-confirmed as Chandra’s. But for the moment I’m happy to go with the DC Medical Examiner, who believes it is Chandra’s.
Second, even if we assume that the human tibia found yesterday is not Chandra’s, can’t we still agree that it probably would have made sense for the cops to retrieve all other readily available human tibias in the immediate vicinity just to see if they might belong to Chandra?
Third, if there are really more than a few unretrieved and unidentified human tibias in that section of Rock Creek Park which don’t belong to Chandra Levy, can’t we just agree that this might point to another possible shortcoming of the DC police?
Un-&%$^#@* believable. Despite giving them a hard time now and then I’ve always resisted the idea that the DC cops were really fundamentally incompetent, that the seeming inscrutability of Chandra Levy’s disappearance and murder might simply be the result of ridiculously inept police work.
Now I’ve changed my mind.
As you no doubt know, Levy’s remains were found recently in an isolated section of DC’s Rock Creek park.
But a couple days ago a fellow Chandra-phile and I were watching Greta Van Susteren’s show when she and a couple guests — a renowned forensic pathologist and a retired DC cop — did a walkaround through the area where Levy’s remains were found. What they found a bit disconcerting was that there was a lot of stuff there that the police hadn’t bothered to pick up — a shoe, an empty condom wrapper, some rope, and some other stuff.
Almost certainly this stuff had nothing to do with Chandra’s death. But it certainly could have. And certainly tons of people are going to go to the spot over the coming days and weeks to see the area and if this was evidence it’ll be gone or compromised before long. The point is, you pick up everything and go through it to see if it might have any relevance to the case. (I know they’re overflowing with hot leads and all but …)
Anyway, it seemed like they’d done a pretty shoddy search.
Well, today the two Levy family investigators — former DC cops — went to scene to see what they could find. And what did they find? A sock? Panties? Some hair that might have been Chandra’s?
No. Try her shin.
They found what appears to be her left tibia. (The bone hasn’t been DNA tested yet. But on the basis of size and wear the DC Medical Examiner told the Washington Post that his “working hypotheses is that it comes from Chandra.”)
The bone was apparently some 25 yards from where Levy’s skull recovered. But this isn’t like a toe or something. It’s like a foot long.
It simply beggars belief.
Though obviously not a great supporter of the president, what President Bush seems poised to announce tonight sounds like a promising move in the right direction. It’s only part of the solution. But it’s a very important part.
But let’s step back and consider an obvious but all-too-important point.
Would this be happening without the political heat being generated because of the embarrassing intelligence failure revelations? Of course not.
And how willingly did the administration leap forward to get these investigations underway? Enough said on that count.
The point is clear. Do politicians try to reap political gain through aggressive investigations? Of course, they do. Get used to it.
But they also help the nation. In Smithian fashion, impure motives nonetheless create a public good. Especially when a recalcitrant administration puts secrecy — which is too often the hand-maiden of &$@-covering — above all else.
One other quick point in passing: Tom Ridge really, really, really shouldn’t get this job. It’s important. And even worth fighting over. He’s damaged goods and has no relevant experience for the task. No special perks for being the president’s friend.
Just a quick note for TV news producers, newspaper editors or even just Hill staffer types trying to make their bosses look good. If you want to get out ahead of the Ashcroft fingerprinting story, read this article in last month’s Washington Monthly and ask the obvious questions. You’ll be glad you did.
Yesterday we took Former FBI Deputy Director Weldon Kennedy to task for his demonstrably false claim that there turned out to be nothing of value in the possession of Zacarias Moussaoui even after the FBI got a post-9/11 warrant to search his possessions. Well, here’s the lede of tomorrow’s article on the same in the Washington Post…
Amid the latest revelations about FBI and CIA lapses prior to the Sept. 11 attacks, congressional investigators say it is now clear that the evidence that lay unexamined in Zacarias Moussaoui’s possession was even more valuable than previously believed.
Tim, how meaty does this one have to be before it’s a Whopper?
I’m willing to grant the state some expanded policing and surveillance powers as the price for protecting the nation against the threat of terrorism. What’s distressing is when the state asks for expanded powers which seem to offer little real payoff or assistance in combatting terrorism. It’s even more disappointing when we shy away from this or that reform because it offends some prized interest group or because — and here’s the biggie — making the change would require the investment of real political capital and standing down entrenched bureaucracies.
This is where the war on terrorism really is being won or lost today. And I’m afraid it’s the latter.
This administration is really hardcore in the mountains of Afghanistan. It talks a great game on Iraq. But when it comes to busting some heads or getting a little bloody in the trench warfare of the DC bureaucracy George W. Bush is turning out to be a mix of George McGovern and Alan Alda.
I’m telling ya, you talk to the people who follow this stuff and they’re clear that these guys are just doing nothing.
Let’s look at today’s announcement from John Ashcroft in which the AG outlines a new plan to require …
“visa holders temporarily entering the United States from [Syria, Iraq, Iran, Libya and Sudan] to be fingerprinted and photographed and to provide contacts in the United States and in their home countries. After 30 days, the visa holders would have to report to the Immigration and Naturalization Service about their activities, and again after each year in the United States and when leaving. Violators would be barred from re-entering the United States.”
That’s the description from the Washington Post.
But wait. The very next sentence reads: “A similar arrangement already exists for all of the five countries except for Syria.”
There’s also going to be a slightly less draconian system which will cover a larger group of countries.
But why exactly are we doing this when we’re stymied even putting in place a simple database to keep track of where kids on student visas are hanging out?
If you’re a conservative and you’re gratified that the administration seems unfettered by political correctness in toughening up the nation’s defenses, don’t be so gratified. Most of this stuff is window-dressing or simply beside the point. Most of the important stuff simply isn’t getting done. Taking on the ACLU and John Conyers is child’s play. But going head to head with the barons at the FBI, the CIA and Main Justice is just something this administration doesn’t have the stomach for.
Earth to Dems: If you want your issue, this is it.
Top three questions Larry King almost got around to asking Dan Rather last night …
1. “Dan, what was it like to travel to the Moon on Apollo 51? It changes your life, right?”
2. “Have you seen Liza? She looks twenty-years younger, right? Those two are really in love.”
3. “Jacques Cousteau. You interviewed him many times. If Jacques could have had an operation to become a fish, would he have done it?”
I’m told we’re about to hear of yet another red-letter intell screw-up. The details I have are sketchy. But my understanding is that this one has to do with money transfers which happened in the summer or fall of 2000. There was a former roommate of arch-terrorist Mohammed Atta who was barred from entry into the US because he was considered a terrorist threat. While he was on our terror list he began wiring large sums of cash from the United Arab Emirates to Atta, Atta’s roommate in Florida and apparently also Zacarias Moussaoui.
In other words, while known-terrorist X was being kept out of the country, he was wiring money to as-yet-unknown terrorists in the country. Apparently at least one of these transfers was reported by a bank to the appropriate people at the US Treasury at the time. But the lead appears to have died there.
Let me be clear: this is scuttlebutt, informed scuttlebutt, but scuttlebutt nonetheless. I think this is permissible in the weblog format. But I want to be sure there’s truth in advertising. Some of the particulars I have here may be slightly off. But I believe this will be next story coming down the pike.
So that’s the ticket!
Apparently Bill Delaney, who if memory serves is CNN’s Boston Bureau Chief, is putting together a segment on how Harvard and other universities are now “factoring in gayness as an enhancement to a college application.” The idea, it seems, is that coming out in high school shows independence, guts and character — which I have no doubt is true. Still, it makes you think of some interesting lists of extra-curriculars.
Anyway, here’s the run-down from an internal CNN memo …
Forget winning the science fair or being an all-state pole vaulter or, well, getting straight A’s – not being straight’s now worth a lot too, when it comes to looking good to the college of your choice. Harvard and other universities around the country now are factoring in gayness as an enhancement to a college application…thinking having confronted one’s sexual orientation at a young age shows independence – and builds character and leadership potential –