Hard to Keep Track

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April 7, 2009 3:02 pm
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The special election in the NY-20 was a week ago today, and if you haven’t been following the election aftermath closely, you may have missed the roller coaster ride the two candidates — Democrat Scott Murphy and Republican Jim Tedisco — have been on since the polls closed, as counties checked and re-checked their tallies.

So I just wanted to take you over the reporting Eric Kleefeld has been doing for us over the last week, as the results have seesawed back and forth. Now is a good time to review where things stand because tomorrow will be an important day. A big chunk of the almost 7,000 absentee ballots (all but the military and overseas absentee ballots that have yet to arrive in the mail) will be counted for the first time, more than enough votes to potentially swing a race where the candidates are separated at most by a few dozen votes.

Tue, Mar 31: Murphy leads on Election Night by 65 votes.

Wed, Apr 1: Murphy’s lead is whittled down to 25 votes.

Thu, Apr 2: Confusion reigns over which set of numbers is most up-to-date: Tedisco leads by as many as 12 votes, or Murphy leads by no more than 6 votes.

Fri, Apr 3: The state’s official numbers show an exact tie. But more recent numbers from one county show Murphy up by 198 votes, while the Tedisco camp claims it’s actually him ahead by 30 thanks to another county — where officials weren’t talking to reporters.

Mon, Apr 6: Officially, Tedisco leads by 97 votes, but newer numbers from one county show Murphy is the real leader, by 83 votes.

Tue, Apr 7: Tedisco is officially ahead for now, by 17 votes.

All this back and forth in the totals is pretty common in every jurisdiction and usually affects the final tally only marginally. The difference here is those marginal changes have been enough to change the provisional leader, pending the results of the absentee ballot count tomorrow.

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