Down to the Wire

January 17, 2010 9:06 am

It’s just hints and shards of information. But it’s looking like Scott Brown’s furious momentum in Massachusetts began to ebb at the end of last week. You can see some of this in Steve Kornacki’s blog. He’s been reporting what he says on the daily internal tracking polls of the Coakley campaign. And hints from polls to be released this evening and tomorrow suggest an electorate trending back slightly more Democratic.This is not to say that Coakley is out of the woods. Far from it. But it’s the first hint of good news the Dems have had in two weeks. What it suggests — though very tentatively (it could all be noise not signal) — is that Brown got a few points out in front of Coakley. But then the momentum stopped. That shouldn’t surprise us much. After all, it’s a very Democratic state. There’s only so far he can surge. But can Coakley get back into the lead?

What I’ve heard from readers is that just in the last 48 hours the Dems are getting some good and plentiful commercials on the air. They had Bill Clinton Friday, Barack Obama today. And they seem to be finally landing a few punches on Brown, who’d been able to fight pretty much a one-sided fight until the middle of last week.

Remember also what I mentioned yesterday, that in all the reliable public polls neither candidate has gotten past 50%. It looks like each is heading toward that number. But given the deeply Democratic nature of the state, Brown needs to hit Tuesday with maximum momentum. Really down to the wire. Very eager to hear from anyone who thinks they know what the story is going to be Wednesday morning.

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