Republican polling firm Magellan Strategies has a new survey for next Tuesday’s NY-09 special election to replace Anthony Weiner — showing Republican candidate Bob Turner ahead of gaffe-prone Democrat David Weprin in this historically Democratic district.
The numbers: Turner 44.6%, Weprin 40.4%, plus 3.2% for Christopher Hoeppner of the Socialist Workers Party. The survey was conducted in one day, on September 1, and has a ±2.16% margin of error.
The survey found Weprin underperforming against what should be expected for a Democrat in the district. The poll asked a generic ballot question, several questions before the actual named-candidate horse race. That result found a generic Democrat leading in the district with 44.8%, with a generic Republican at 39.9%.
A key piece from the pollster’s analysis: “Both candidates have comparable name recognition (Turner 89% name recognition/Weprin 88% name recognition). However, Turner’s image is 37% favorable to 23.8% unfavorable, while Weprin’s image is 29.8% favorable to 34.5% unfavorable.”
The poll comes on the same day as a Politico report showing many top Democrats putting in financial contributions during the home stretch of the campaign, and that the party is paying close attention to the race. Will that be enough?
