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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

A clear majority of New Jersey voters favor a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married, according to the latest Quinnipiac poll.  But those same voters overwhelmingly support Gov. Chris Christie's (R) idea to allow voters to decide the fate of the law, which he vetoed after it passed the state legislature earlier this year, through a ballot referendum in November.

In the statewide poll of registered voters, 53 said they support same-sex marriage, while 42 percent are opposed.  But 67 percent said Christie's proposal to bring the law to a statewide vote is a "good idea."  Moreover, voters are split on both Christie's veto and the prospect of a legislative override.  When asked about Christie's veto, 44 percent said the governor did the right thing, while 48 percent said it was the wrong thing to do.  

There is a nearly identical divide over how the Democratic-controlled legislature should respond: 48 percent said that state lawmakers should attempt to override Christie's veto, while 45 percent said that legislators should not pursue that option.  

The latest poll from Fox News shows that a majority of Americans are opposed to a constitutional amendment that would define marriage as strictly between a man and a woman.  

Among registered voters nationwide, 53 percent were opposed to such an amendment, while 38 percent were in support. That's a far cry from 2004, when a Fox poll found that 52 percent of voters favored a constitutional ban, which presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney has said he supports.  

The most recent Fox poll also found that 37 percent of voters believe gay and lesbian couples should have the right to get married, while 33 percent favor a legal partnership comparable to but not labeled as marriage and 25 percent support no legal recognition.  

The latest survey from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows an extremely competitive gubernatorial race developing in New Hampshire, where current Gov. John Lynch (D) will not seek a fifth two-year term.  

Both parties will hold their primaries on September 11, although the Republican nomination appears to be all but sewn up by Ovide Lamontagne.  Among Republican primary voters in the state, PPP found that Lamontagne — who has previously run unsuccessful campaigns for governor and U.S. Senate —leads former state legislator Kevin Smith, 53 percent to 13 percent.  The Democratic primary figures to be much tighter, with two former state legislators running neck-and-neck.  Among Democratic primary voters, Maggie Hassan edges Jackie Cilley, 23 percent to 20 percent.  

Democrats may struggle to decide which of their two candidates is the most "electable."  In PPP's general election questions, Cilley and Lamontagne are both locked at 38 percent, while Lamontagne narrowly tops Hassan, 40 percent to 39 percent.   

Former Sen. James Abdnor (R-SD) died this morning in Sioux Falls, S.D. He was 89.  

Abdnor's career in the Senate began in 1980 when he defeated former Democratic presidential nominee Sen. George McGovern. Abdnor lost his re-election bid in 1986 to another well-known Democrat from the Mount Rushmore State, former Majority Leader Tom Daschle.  

Mitt Romney is weighing in on the U.S. Senate race in Florida, endorsing Rep. Connie Mack (R-FL).  

Mack is currently battling George LeMieux, a former senator, in a Republican primary. The primary will be held on Aug. 14, with the winner earning the right to take on two-term incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) in the general election.

The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll reveals that voters are split when it comes to one of presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney's key campaign pledges. 

Among registered voters nationwide, the poll shows that 41 percent have a favorable impression of Romney's vow to repeal the health care reform law — colloquially referred to as "Obamacare" — that was passed and signed into law in 2010, while 42 percent have an unfavorable view of the proposal.  But the former Massachusetts governor's plan is unpopular among independents, with 47 percent saying they view Romney's call for repeal unfavorably and only 33 percent saying they have a favorable view.  

The results are somewhat surprising given that polls routinely show clear majorities favor repeal of the new health care law. The TPM Poll Average currently shows strong support for repeal.  

 

Republicans have decried President Barack Obama’s policy proposals as socialist, anti-business and tantamount to class warfare, but if the results of a new poll are any indication, independent voters may have a different response to Obama’s populist posturing: do more.

A survey conducted by the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) and commissioned by the Campaign for a Fair Settlement, a coalition of various organizations seeking to hold certain banks accountable for their roles in the housing foreclosure crisis, shows that independent voters in five potential battleground states would like to see the Obama administration do more to hold banks accountable and police Wall Street.  The five states included in the survey — Nevada, Florida, Arizona, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — will not only figure prominently in the 2012 presidential election; they were also among the most acutely affected by the housing crisis and ensuing recession.  

Significant majorities in all five states believe that some Wall Street executives were guilty of criminal actions in triggering the economic meltdown.  Moreover, majorities in each state also believe that the Obama administration — which has not filed a criminal charge against any top executive of a major financial institution —has not gone far enough in holding the banks accountable for their role in the housing collapse.  

“The President should heed the message independent voters are sending and show stronger leadership on housing,” Nish Suvarnakar, campaign manager for Campaign for a Fair Settlement, said in a statement. “Obama can help homeowners, his campaign and the overall economy by more aggressively pursuing banks’ criminal acts and supporting meaningful solutions for underwater homeowners.”

A survey from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows President Barack Obama on solid footing in New Hampshire, a state that is viewed as friendly territory to presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

In the automated poll of registered voters, Obama tops Romney, 53 percent to 41 percent.  Romney also gets no boost from New Hampshire's junior United States Senator, Kelly Ayote.  When Ayote is added to Romney's ticket in a hyopthetical general election matchup, the Democratic ticket of Obama and Vice President Joe Biden still wins, 52 percent to 42 percent.

Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, has deep roots in New England.  He has a home in New Hampshire and those personal connections helped him seal a landslide victory in the state's Republican primary in January.  Democrats have won New Hampshire in the previous two presidential contests.  The TPM Poll Average currently gives Obama a clear lead in the state.  

 

A new Quinnipiac poll shows that President Barack Obama is a strong favorite to win New Jersey in November — even when he is matched up against the Garden State's popular governor.

In the statewide poll of registered voters, Obama bests presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney, 49 percent to 39 percent.  For a state that has voted Democratic in the past five presidential elections, that is not necessarily surprising.  But the poll gets intriguing when New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) enters the equation.  When Quinnipiac asked voters to decide between the incumbent ticket of Obama and Vice President Joe Biden and a Republican ticket of Romney and Christie, the president's team still comes out on top — 50 percent to 42 percent.  

While Christie is popular among New Jersey voters, so is Obama.  The governor, who has achieved star status with national Republicans, is viewed favorably by 53 percent of his state's voters; only 39 percent have an unfavorable view.  Obama, meanwhile, is viewed favorably by 54 percent of New Jersey voters, while 41 percent view the president unfavorably.  

The TPM Poll Average tells a similar story: Obama is highly likely to claim New Jersey's 14 electoral votes, regardless of who makes up the second half of Romney's ticket.

 

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