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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama's lead in Michigan has inched up to 5 points, a new poll released Thursday shows.  

Obama leads MItt Romney, 49 percent to 44 percent, among likely Michigan voters in the latest automated survey from in-state pollster, Mitchell Research & Communications.  Mitchell's previous two polls showed a dead heat between Obama and Romney in the state.  Obama clung to a 1-point edge in the June survey, while Romney led by the same minuscule margin last month.

The latest poll, conducted on Monday, shows that Romney's selection of Paul Ryan has had no immediate impact on the race in Michigan.  Obama's lead remains the same even when the names of Ryan and Vice President Joe Biden are included in the survey question.  

After several polls showed an increasingly tight race in the Great Lakes State earlier in the summer, Obama appears to have re-gained his footing to re-emerge as the favorite there.  The PollTracker Average currently shows Michigan favoring the president, who leads Romney, 48.9 percent to 43.8 percent.   

A new poll released Thursday shows President Barack Obama holding a 6-point lead in Pennsylvania at a time when the state's new voter ID law continues to thrust uncertainty into the presidential race there. 

The latest poll from Franklin & Marshall College — and commissioned by the Philadelphia Daily News — shows Obama leading Mitt Romney among registered voters in Pennsylvania, 44 percent to 38 percent.  That marks a dip in support for the president, who led by 12 points in Franklin & Marshall's previous poll of the Keystone State in June.  

The poll comes on the heels of a ruling on Wednesday by a Pennsylvania judge to uphold the state's Republican-backed voter ID law, which has been the subject of intense criticism.  Opponents to the measure contend that the law will have a disproportionate effect on minority voters, potentially upending Obama's chances there.  A top Pennsylvania Republican even suggested earlier this summer that the law could help Romney secure the state's 20 electoral votes.

The PollTracker Average shows Pennsylvania favoring Obama, who currently leads Romney there, 47.3 percent to 41 percent.

 

Update: This post was published before Franklin & Marshall released the complete poll, which features results that include respondents who are leaning toward a candidate.  With leaners included, Obama leads Romney by a comparable margin, 47 percent to 42 percent.  

Felix Hernandez of the Seattle Mariners threw a no-hitter Wednesday, retiring all 27 batters he faced and striking out 12 en route to his team's 1-0 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.  His performance marks only the 23rd perfect game all time, but already the third this season.  Phillip Humber of the Chicago White Sox and Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants each tossed perfect games in April and June respectively.

A new poll released Wednesday shows President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by a 2-to-1 margin among voters  unlikely to show up to the polls in November.  

The latest survey from USA Today and Suffolk University shows Obama leading Romney, 43 percent to 18 percent, among all so-called "unlikely voters." Among the two-thirds of unlikely voters who are registered to vote, Obama holds a comparable lead, 43 percent to 20 percent.  The president's lead over Romney among the unregistered voters is even larger: 43 percent to 14 percent.

The poll finds a high rate of disenchantment and a low level of political engagement among the unlikely voters. Six in 10 say they tune out politics because "nothing ever gets done" and 39 percent know the name of the current vice president, Joe Biden.  

President Barack Obama holds a 3-point lead over Mitt Romney in Ohio, and an even larger edge among the state's independents, a new poll released Tuesday shows.

The latest release from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Obama leading Romney among likely Ohio voters, 48 percent to 45 percent -- virtually unchanged from PPP's previous survey of Ohio in late June. Obama is also holding his lead among Ohio women, while receiving a significant bump among independents in the state. The president and Romney were locked at 42 percent among independents in June; Obama has now opened up a 10-point lead with independent Ohio voters, 49 percent to 39 percent.

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Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) has ascended to political stardom among conservatives for his staunch opposition to big federal spending programs, but the newly minted Republican vice presidential nominee sought grant money from the 2009 stimulus package he has consistently derided.  

The Boston Globe reports today that Ryan penned four letters to Energy Secretary John Chu in 2009 to request millions of dollars for two Wisconsin conservation groups through the federal government's sweeping American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, often simply referred to as the stimulus package.  

Both groups ultimately secured the funds — including one that received a $20 million grant — but the letters were submitted at a time when Ryan was in the vanguard of the Republican Party's opposition to the federal program, decrying it as an example of wasteful government spending.  

President Barack Obama holds a narrow 3-point edge in New Hampshire, according to a new poll released Monday.

In the latest poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, 49 percent of likely Granite State voters support Obama, while 46 percent prefer Mitt Romney.  New Hampshire is seen as conducive political territory to Romney, although Democrats have carried the state in four of the last five presidential elections.  

The presumptive Republican nominee was governor of a neighboring state, Massachusetts, and his family maintains a home in New Hampshire.  In January, Romney won the state's Republican primary in resounding fashion.  

The PollTracker Average shows New Hampshire currently leaning toward Obama, who leads Romney, 49 percent to 45.7 percent.

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney were all knotted up nationally in the days before Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) was added to the Republican ticket, according to a new poll released Monday.

The latest POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground poll shows Obama leading Romney by only one, 48 percent to 47 percent.  Romney claims a slight edge on the question of which candidate would do a better job handling the economy, 49 percent to 44 percent, while Obama is widely considered to be the better candidate to stand up for the middle class, 54 percent to 40 percent.  

Republican pollster Tarrange Group and Democratic firm Lake Research Partners conducted the poll on behalf of POLITICO and George Washington University August 5-9 using live phone interviews with 1,000 likely voters nationwide.  Its margin of error is 3.1 percentage points.  

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama leading Romney, 48.4 percent to 42.4 percent.  Obama opened up his solid national advantage last week with the release of three polls in which he led Romney by at least 7-points.  

Vice presidential picks don't typically swing elections one way or the other, the conventional wisdom goes, but a recent poll suggests that the selection of Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) could boost the Republican ticket in Wisconsin.

A survey conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) in early July -- before Mitt Romney made his pick -- showed President Barack Obama besting the presumptive Republican nominee in Wisconsin, 50 percent to 44 percent. The 6-point lead served as breathing room for the president after the race had tightened in the Badger State earlier in the summer.

Gov. Scott Walker's (R) triumph in the June recall election gave Republicans a shot in the arm, prompting speculation that the state was in play. Democrats have carried Wisconsin in every presidential election since 1984, but even the Obama campaign seemed to take notice of the GOP's momentum there, listing the state as a toss-up in June.

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If he were to run as a Democrat in Florida's 2014 gubernatorial election, Charlie Crist would edge Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL), a new poll released Friday shows.

The latest poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows that Crist leads the hypothetical match-up, 44 percent to 41 percent.  Crist was a member of the Republican Party when he served as the state's governor from 2007 until 2011.  In 2010, he ran for U.S. Senate as an independent, ultimately falling to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL).  Friday's poll shows that 42 percent of voters believe that Crist should become a Democrat, while only 27 percent believe he should not switch parties.

Elected in 2010 after spending over $70 million of his own funds during the campaign, Scott has battled anemic approval ratings throughout his first term.  Only 39 percent of voters approve of his job performance in PPP's survey, while 51 percent disapprove.  The PollTracker Average currently shows Scott's approval rating well under water, with 38.3 percent approving and 51.7 percent disapproving.

 

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