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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

The Republican National Committee on Wednesday responded quickly to a surprising new poll from Marquette University Law School that shows President Barack Obama opening up a 14-point lead in Wisconsin.  Nicole Tieman, the RNC's communications director in Wisconsin, released a statement that seeks to highlight Obama's desperation to retain a state that was once solidly in his column.

Wisconsin is a crucial swing state that the Obama Campaign is clearly worried about losing. The President turned his back on his most loyal supporters during the recall election, has been absent from the state for over 200 days, and has implemented policies that have made Wisconsinites worse off. Now, after seeing the growing Republican momentum and enthusiastic support for Governor Romney and Congressman Ryan’s plan to strengthen Wisconsin’s small business and middle class families, the President is scrabbling to regain the support he’s lost since the 2008 election.  President Obama’s upcoming visit to Milwaukee, paired with ad buys to be released next week show a President desperate to hang on to a state his campaign once thought was safely in their camp. In November, Wisconsin voters will choose a new direction and prove them wrong.

With a strengthened position on the economy, President Barack Obama claims clear leads in two swing states, including in Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan's native Wisconsin, while the race is tight in a western battleground, according to a new slate of polls released Wednesday.

The latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times show Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely voters in Wisconsin (51 percent to 45 percent) and in Virginia (50 percent to 46 percent), while the president narrowly edges his GOP challenger in Colorado (48 percent to 47 percent).

Obama's lead in Wisconsin represents a bump for the Democratic ticket from a month ago, when the the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll showed the president hanging on to a 2-point edge among likely voters in the state. Coinciding with Obama's expanded lead in the Badger State is a shift in voters' preference over which candidate is better-suited to preside over the economy. A month ago, 49 percent of Wisconsin voters said Romney would do a better job on the economy, compared with 43 percent who preferred Obama on the issue.

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President Barack Obama holds a 2-point lead over Mitt Romney among voters in 12 swing states, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll released Wednesday.

In a composite poll of registered voters across a handful of key states, Obama leads Romney, 48 percent to 46 percent.  The president has held a 2-3 since May in USA Today/Gallup swing state polling, which includes samples of voters from Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

A poll from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times also released on Wednesday shows Obama holding solid leads in Virginia and Wisconsin, while holding a slim 1-point edge in Colorado.

Massachusetts Democratic senate candidate Elizabeth Warren claims a lead in another post-convention poll, with a new survey out Wednesday showing her leading Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) by 5 points.

The poll, conducted by MassINC Polling Group on behalf of Boston-based radio station WBUR, shows Warren leading Brown among likely voters (with leaners included), 47 percent to 42 percent.  Three other polls released this week also showed Warren moving ahead of Brown, after the Republican incumbent had seemingly asserted himself as the favorite in August.  

The PollTracker Average, which currently shows Warren leading by 3.3 points, reflects her recent surge. 

President Barack Obama holds leads 4 points and 6 points in Virginia and Wisconsin respectively, while clinging to a 1-point edge in Colorado, according to a new batch of swing state polls released Wednesday.

The latest polls from the latest polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times, Obama leads Mitt Romney in Virginia, 50 percent to 46 percent, and in Wiscosnin, 51 percent to 45 percent.  Obama's lead in Colorado is smaller and within the poll's margin-of-error, 48 percent to 47 percent.

While Mitt Romney continues to suffer the fallout from a video that shows him dismissing President Barack Obama's voters, or 47 percent of Americans, as invididuals who do not pay income taxes and depend on government entitlements, new research from Gallup released Tuesday shows that the Republican nominee claims the support from more of those individuals than his remarks seem to suggest.

According to Gallup's polling from the tracking period of Aug. 27-Sept. 16, 34 percent of voters whose household incomes are less than $24,000 a year support Romney.  Obama easily wins among those voters, earning the support of 58 percent.  

As Gallup points out, a significant portion of the individuals who pay no income tax are the same voters in the lowest income bracket, roughly a third of whom intend to vote for Romney, not Obama.

As Republicans assail President Barack Obama for supposedly exacerbating an already-weak economy and Mitt Romney claims that his business experience makes him well-suited to lead a recovery, a new poll released Tuesday shows that neither contention is really resonating with voters.

The poll, conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) on behalf of Daily Kos and Service Employees International Union (SEIU), shows  that 38 percent of voters say Romney's experience at Bain Capital make them less likely to support the Republican nominee, compared with just 21 percent who say that his career at the private equity firm make them more likely to support him.  Thirty-nine percent say it makes no difference.

The poll also shows that 51 percent of likely voters nationwide believe the economy would not be in better shape under Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), while 38 percent believe it would be in better shape.  

 

 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 5 in Michigan, according to a new survey released Tuesday from an in-state pollster.  

The poll, conducted by Lansing, Mich.-based Marketing Resource Group, shows Obama leading Romney among likely voters, 47.5 percent to 42.3 percent.  

Obama has long been the favorite in Michigan — despite Romney's personal connection to the state — due in large part to his administration's successful restructuring of the U.S. automakers.  The poll shows that 61 percent of Michigan voters say they supported the federal government's rescue of the auto companies, compared with just 32 percent who say they were opposed.

Obama's approval and favorability ratings are also in positive territory.  Fifty percent approve of the job the president is doing, while 46 percent disapprove.  Additionally, 52 percent have a favorable view of Obama, compared with 44 percent who have an unfavorable view.  Marketing Resource Group did not test Romney's favorability rating in the poll.

The PollTracker Average shows Michigan favoring Obama, who currently leads Romney there by 5.7 points.

 

The momentum behind Massachusetts Senate hopeful Elizabeth Warren appears to be real, with another poll out Monday night showing her with a lead over Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA).  

A new poll from Suffolk University, conducted on behalf of Boston-based NBC affiliate WHDH, shows Warren leading Brown by 4 points among likely Bay State voters, 48 percent to 44 percent.

It's the latest piece of evidence that Warren has gained traction in the weeks following the Democratic National Convention after falling behind in August. Two other polls conducted after the convention, by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) and by Western New England College, showed Warren holding leads of 2 points and 6 points respectively.

Warren's lead in the Suffolk poll comes despite Brown boasting a higher favorability rating, although the Democratic nominee is also in positive territory. The poll shows 60 percent of voteres have a favorable view of Brown, compared with 29 percent who view him unfavorably. Warren, meanwhile, is viewed favorably by 52 percent of voters surveyed, compared with 33 percent who view the consumer watchdog unfavorably.

The PollTracker Average curently shows Warren leading by 2.5 points, 48.2 percent to 45.7 percent.

  

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