Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Obama's current level of support in Gallup's daily tracking survey represents a clear dip among several voting blocs since 2008, the national polling firm reported on Tuesday.  

The chart below compares how Obama stacked up with Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) in the final week of the campaign four years ago with how he fares against Republican nominee Mitt Romney today.  

From Gallup:

In order to compare Obama's support today with 2008, the data in the graph below for both 2008 and 2012 are re-percentaged on the basis of support for the Democratic and Republican candidates only, excluding "no opinion" responses and support for minor third-party candidates. The 2008 results reflect an additional adjustment to align Gallup's final likely voter result with the election outcome.


Mitt Romney reaches the 50 percent threshold and leads President Barack Obama by 4 points in the latest Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll released on Tuesday.

The poll, conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP), shows Romney leading Obama among likely voters nationwide, 50 percent to 46 percent.  Romney held a 2-point lead over Obama in last week's Daily Kos/SEIU poll.  

With the addition of Tuesday's Daily Kos/SEIU poll, which was conducted Oct. 12-14, Romney has moved ahead of Obama in the PollTracker Average.


Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) leads by 3 points over his Republican challenger, businessman Tom Smith, in a new poll released Tuesday morning.

According to the latest poll from Quinnipiac University, Casey leads Smith among likely Pennsylvania voters, 48 percent to 45 percent.  Casey, who was elected in 2006 by way of a landslide victory over Rick Santorum, held a 6-point lead in a late-September poll released jointly by Quinnipiac, CBS News and the New York Times.  In a July Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll, Casey led by 18 points.  

Smith might be moving up in the polls by riding Mitt Romney's coattails.  Tuesday's poll from Quinnipiac also shows the Republican nominee, who's made inroads both nationally and in various battlegrounds following his successful first debate, trailing President Barack Obama by only 4 points in Pennsylvania.  

The PollTracker Average currently shows Casey leading Smith, 46.5 percent to 41.4 percent. 


While previous polls showed that voters overwhelmingly expected President Barack Obama to best Mitt Romney in the first presidential debate, a new survey released from Pew Research Center on Monday indicates that predictions for round two are much more divided.

The poll shows that 41 percent of registered voters believe Obama will win Tuesday night's town hall debate in Long Island, N.Y., compared with 37 percent who said Romney will emerge on top.  

Those are very different results from Pew's first pre-debate poll and undoubtedly a result of Obama's underwhelming performance in his head-to-head outing with Romney on Oct. 3 in Denver.  In that poll, conducted Sept. 27-30, 51 percent of voters said they expected Obama to do a better job in the debate, while a mere 29 percent said Romney would outperform the president.  

President Barack Obama holds small leads among likely voters nationwide, according to two polls released Monday morning, although Mitt Romney remains in striking distance.

One poll, from ABC News and the Washington Post, shows Obama leading Romney 49 percent to 46 percent, little change from their survey in late September that showed Obama up by 2 points. Thirty-seven percent of likely voters have a more favorable view of Romney following his performance in the first debate in Denver, compared with a mere 8 percent who now have a more positive impression of the president. But 72 percent said the debate did not change how they view Obama, and 47 percent indicated that their views of Romney were unchanged.

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President Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania, according to a poll released Monday.

The latest poll conducted by Muhlenberg College on behalf of The Morning Call shows Obama leading Romney among likely Keystone State voters, 49 percent to 45 percent.  Obama led Romney by 7 points in Muhlenberg's poll of Pennsylvania in late-September.

Four tea party-backed House candidates in New York used sharp criticism of President Obama to secure election in 2010. Two years later, his mere presence on the ballot may jeopardize their prospects.

Democrats believe New York is prime turf to take back seats and slice into the GOP's majority in the House of Representatives. The four freshmen — Ann Marie Buerkle, Nan Hayworth, Chris Gibson and Michael Grimm — are being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red-to-Blue" campaign. And their challengers are all employing similar strategies by attacking them for a pair of conservative House votes and hoping Obama's popularity in the state will result in more voters casting a ballot for Democrats this year.

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Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama among likely voters nationwide, 49 percent to 47 percent, in Sunday's edition of Gallup's daily tracking poll.  The poll was conducted Oct. 7-13.  

It's the third consecutive day the Republican nominee has led the president by such a margin in Gallup's tracking.  Obama has not led Romney among likely voters in the national tracking survey since Gallup shifted to the narrower sample last week.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Romney with a narrow lead, 47.6 percent to 46.4 percent.


Although President Barack Obama has seen solid leads evaporate in the last week, a poll released Saturday night suggests that Ohio may continue to serve as a firewall for his campaign.

The latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely Ohio voters, 51 percent to 46 percent. That's little change from PPP's pre-debate poll of Ohio two weeks ago, which showed Obama up 4.

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