Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama has ticked up in two midwestern battlegrounds, according to a two-pronged survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling on Thursday.

One poll shows Obama holding a narrow lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters in Iowa 49 percent to 47 percent. That's a marginal improvement for Obama since PPP's survey of Iowa a week ago, which showed him leading by only a point.

Obama's lead over the Republican nominee is even larger in Wisconsin. Likely voters in the Badger State prefer the president over Romney 51 percent to 45 percent. The president's 6-point lead is a wider gap than his 2-point edge in PPP's poll there conducted immediately following the Oct. 3 debate in Denver.  

Thursday's polls of each state were conducted after Monday's final presidential debate on behalf of Health Care for America Now, a group established to protect and promote the Affordable Care Act.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama holding a slim lead in Iowa and a larger advantage in Wisconsin


Mitt Romney holds a 2-point among likely voters nationwide, according to a poll released Thusday. 

The poll, conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications on behalf of the Associated Press, shows Romney narrowly leading President Barack Obama 47 percent to 45 percent. In the Ap/GfK poll a month ago — during a period following the national conventions when the Democratic ticket was opening up leads nationally and in swing states over their Republican challengers — Obama led by only 1 among likely voters.

The PollTracker average currently shows Obama leading by less than a point.


President Barack Obama's lead in Virginia has extended to 5 points, according to the latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released on Thursday.

Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely Commonwealth voters 51 percent to 46 percent — a jump from PPP's survey of Virginia a week ago, which showed the president nursing a 2-point lead. More than half of Virginia voters, 51 percent, have a favorable opinion of Obama compared. Conversely, the same percentage has an unfavorable view of Romney.

The poll also shows a pronounced gender gap in Virginia. Obama leads by 16 points among women voters in the state, while Romneyholds a 5-point edge among men.  Thursday's poll was conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, a group founded to promote the Affordable Care Act.  

The president's lead in Virginia is now a little more than 2 points, according to the PollTracker average, which places the battleground in the "leans Obama" column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.



President Obama claims a slim 1-point edge in Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling's latest national daily tracking poll.

The poll, conducted Oct. 22-24 on behalf of the progressive group Americans United for Change, shows Obama earning the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationwide, while Republican nominee Mitt Romney trails slightly with 48 percent. The two candidates were tied in Wednesday's tracking poll, and Romney held a 2-point lead on Tuesday. 

This week saw Obama move ahead of Romney in the PollTracker average.


President Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead in Nevada, according to a poll released Wednesday afternoon.

The poll, conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling, shows Obama earning the support of 51 percent among likely voters in the state, while Mitt Romney trails with 47 percent — an identical margin to what was shown in PPP's survey of the Silver State earlier this month.  

Obama has consistently led in Nevada throughout the campaign. Despite the state's beleaguered economy, it's a battleground that poses plenty of problems for the Republican nominee. The PollTracker Average illustrates Obama's steady edge in the state.


Harry Reid was a goner.

In the dying embers of the 2010 midterms, the Senate majority leader appeared to be on the ropes. Polls from a variety of well-known outlets showed tea party champion Sharron Angle leading him in the final weeks of the U.S. Senate race in Nevada. No less of an authority than Nate Silver, who correctly predicted 34 of the 36 Senate races that year, pegged Angle as the favorite in his final forecast.

Read More →

President Barack Obama continues to hold a 3-point lead over Mitt Romney in Ohio, according to the latest poll from SurveyUSA released on Wednesday.

The poll, conducted on behalf of Columbus NBC affiliate WCMH-TV, shows Obama earning the support of 47 percent of likely Buckeye State voters, while Romney trails with 44 percent support. Last week, SurveyUSA also showed the president leading by 3 in Ohio.

As was the case with last week's poll, Wednesday's survey shows the president claiming a wide lead among early voters in the state. Romney, meanwhile, leads by 2 among those who have not yet voted. SurveyUSA's latest, conducted Oct. 20-22, does not reflect what effect Monday's debate will have on the race in Ohio.

The president currently leads by 2 points in Ohio, according to the PollTracker Average, placing the state in the toss-up column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.


Republicans across the country harbor more positive feelings toward the 2012 election than they did a month ago, according to findings from a survey conducted by the Pew Research Center and released on Tuesday.

The poll shows that 73 percent of Republicans call the campaign "interesting" and 69 percent say it has been "informative" — a spike of 23 and 20 points respectively since last month. Moreover, the percentage of Republicans who say the campaign is "too long" and "too negative" has dipped since September.

Tuesday's poll indicates that Democrats' views are largely unchanged from September.

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each earn the support of 48 percent of likely voters nationwide, according to Tuesday's edition of the Daily Kos/SEIU Weekly State of the Nation Poll — a change from the 4-point lead held by the Republican nominee a week ago.

The poll, conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling, shows Obama winning by 9 points among women voters, while Romney has a 12- point edge among men. Among those who have already cast their ballots, 53 percent said they voted for Obama, while 45 percent said they voted for Romney. Other polls have shown the president with commanding leads among early voters in a number of swing states. Tuesday's poll shows the former Massachusetts governor claiming a narrow lead among those who plan to wait until Election Day 49 percent to 47 percent.

In last week's Kos/SEIU poll, Romney reached the 50 percent threshold among likely voters, while Obama trailed with 46 percent support. The PollTracker Average shows the two candidates running in a virtual dead heat.