Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 nationwide, a new poll released Thursday shows, with only a tiny sliver of the electorate still up for grabs.

The latest poll from the University of Connecticut and the Hartford Courant shows Obama leading Romney among likely voters, 46 percent to 43 percent.  By large margins, Obama is viewed as the better candidate to represent the middle class and women.  

Forty-four percent also say the president is the more trustworthy candidate, compared with 36 percent who believe that Romney is more trustworthy.  And by a slightly narrower margin, 37 percent to 33 percent, voters believe the Republican nominee has run a more negative campaign than Obama.

The poll also highlights what will likely be the defining struggle between the two campaigns in the final stretch: winning over the small portion of undecided voters.  Only 8 percent of likely voters in Thursday's survey say they have not made up their minds.

The PollTracker Average shows Obama holding on to his post-convention momentum, as he currently leads Romney by 3.9 points.


President Barack Obama has opened up a 14-point lead in Wisconsin, according to a new poll.

Mitt Romney's selection of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan solidified the Badger State as a battleground, but a successful month for Obama and continuing campaign woes for Romney have blunted the GOP's momentum there. The Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday shows Obama leading Romney among likely Wisconsin voters, 54 percent to 40 percent.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama leading Romney by 6.3 points in Wisconsin, eclipsing the 50 percent threshold in the last month.

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President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 8 points in Michigan, according to a new poll from CNN released Wednesday.

The poll shows Obama earning the support of 52 percent of likely Michigan voters, while Romney trails with 44 percent.  Obama's advantage is built upon a 5-point lead among men and an 11-point lead among women.  

Although the presidential race looked competitive there at times in the summer, Michigan has clearly tipped in Obama's favor over the last month.  The PollTracker Average of Michigan currently shows Obama holding a 6.9-point lead over Romney, who has been trending downward since the end of August.


The Republican National Committee on Wednesday responded quickly to a surprising new poll from Marquette University Law School that shows President Barack Obama opening up a 14-point lead in Wisconsin.  Nicole Tieman, the RNC's communications director in Wisconsin, released a statement that seeks to highlight Obama's desperation to retain a state that was once solidly in his column.

Wisconsin is a crucial swing state that the Obama Campaign is clearly worried about losing. The President turned his back on his most loyal supporters during the recall election, has been absent from the state for over 200 days, and has implemented policies that have made Wisconsinites worse off. Now, after seeing the growing Republican momentum and enthusiastic support for Governor Romney and Congressman Ryan’s plan to strengthen Wisconsin’s small business and middle class families, the President is scrabbling to regain the support he’s lost since the 2008 election.  President Obama’s upcoming visit to Milwaukee, paired with ad buys to be released next week show a President desperate to hang on to a state his campaign once thought was safely in their camp. In November, Wisconsin voters will choose a new direction and prove them wrong.

With a strengthened position on the economy, President Barack Obama claims clear leads in two swing states, including in Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan's native Wisconsin, while the race is tight in a western battleground, according to a new slate of polls released Wednesday.

The latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times show Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely voters in Wisconsin (51 percent to 45 percent) and in Virginia (50 percent to 46 percent), while the president narrowly edges his GOP challenger in Colorado (48 percent to 47 percent).

Obama's lead in Wisconsin represents a bump for the Democratic ticket from a month ago, when the the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll showed the president hanging on to a 2-point edge among likely voters in the state. Coinciding with Obama's expanded lead in the Badger State is a shift in voters' preference over which candidate is better-suited to preside over the economy. A month ago, 49 percent of Wisconsin voters said Romney would do a better job on the economy, compared with 43 percent who preferred Obama on the issue.

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President Barack Obama holds a 2-point lead over Mitt Romney among voters in 12 swing states, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll released Wednesday.

In a composite poll of registered voters across a handful of key states, Obama leads Romney, 48 percent to 46 percent.  The president has held a 2-3 since May in USA Today/Gallup swing state polling, which includes samples of voters from Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

A poll from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times also released on Wednesday shows Obama holding solid leads in Virginia and Wisconsin, while holding a slim 1-point edge in Colorado.

Massachusetts Democratic senate candidate Elizabeth Warren claims a lead in another post-convention poll, with a new survey out Wednesday showing her leading Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) by 5 points.

The poll, conducted by MassINC Polling Group on behalf of Boston-based radio station WBUR, shows Warren leading Brown among likely voters (with leaners included), 47 percent to 42 percent.  Three other polls released this week also showed Warren moving ahead of Brown, after the Republican incumbent had seemingly asserted himself as the favorite in August.  

The PollTracker Average, which currently shows Warren leading by 3.3 points, reflects her recent surge. 

President Barack Obama holds leads 4 points and 6 points in Virginia and Wisconsin respectively, while clinging to a 1-point edge in Colorado, according to a new batch of swing state polls released Wednesday.

The latest polls from the latest polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times, Obama leads Mitt Romney in Virginia, 50 percent to 46 percent, and in Wiscosnin, 51 percent to 45 percent.  Obama's lead in Colorado is smaller and within the poll's margin-of-error, 48 percent to 47 percent.

While Mitt Romney continues to suffer the fallout from a video that shows him dismissing President Barack Obama's voters, or 47 percent of Americans, as invididuals who do not pay income taxes and depend on government entitlements, new research from Gallup released Tuesday shows that the Republican nominee claims the support from more of those individuals than his remarks seem to suggest.

According to Gallup's polling from the tracking period of Aug. 27-Sept. 16, 34 percent of voters whose household incomes are less than $24,000 a year support Romney.  Obama easily wins among those voters, earning the support of 58 percent.  

As Gallup points out, a significant portion of the individuals who pay no income tax are the same voters in the lowest income bracket, roughly a third of whom intend to vote for Romney, not Obama.