Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama picks up 50 percent support among likely voters nationwide and leads Mitt Romney by 2 points in Sunday's daily tracking poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling. Romney trailed by 3 points in Saturday's tracking poll and has ticked up a point since then.

PPP conducted the survey on behalf of the progressive group Americans United for Change on Nov. 2-4 using automated interviews with 1,200 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

Obama holds a lead of a little less than a point, according to the PollTracker Average.


President Barack Obama faces a political climate that's very comparable to what former President George W. Bush was up against in 2004, according to the latest poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal released Sunday evening.

The poll shows Obama with an approval rating of 49 percent, mirroring where Bush stood in the final NBC/WSJ before Election Day eight years ago. Moreover, Obama's narrow lead over Mitt Romney — 48 percent to 47 percent — is identical to Bush's 1-point edge in 2004 over Sen. John Kerry (D-MA). 

Forty-two percent said the country is on the right track in Sunday's poll, as compared to 41 percent who said the same in 2004. 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 2 points in Iowa, according to the latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling.

Fifty percent of likely Hawkeye State voters give the nod to Obama — identical to his level of support in PPP's previous poll of Iowa last week. But Romney has ticked up 3 points since then to reach 48 percent and cut the slice the president's lead roughly in half. 

The widely respect and highly anticipated poll from the Des Moines Register on Saturday showed Obama with a 5-point lead in Iowa. His currently lead in the PollTracker Average of Iowa is a little more than 3 points, enough to place the state in Obama's column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.


PPP conducted its survey Nov. 3-4 using automated interviews with 1,122 likely voters in Iowa. It has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.


Presidnet Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters nationwide 49 percent to 48 percent in Sunday's release of the tracking poll from ABC News and the Washington Post. The two were locked at 48 percent in Saturday's release.

Sunday's poll is based on results from live interviews conducted Oct. 31-Nov. 3 with 2,069 likely voters. It has a margin of error 2.5 percentage points.

Obama inched ahead by about a point in the PollTracker Average today with the release of a survey from Pew that showed him reaching 50 percent and leading Romney by 3 points. 

President Barack Obama earns the support of 50 percent of likely New Hampshire voters and leads Mitt Romney by 2 points, according to the latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling.

Obama held a comparable lead over Romney in PPP's poll of the Granite State last week, 48 percent to 46 percent.

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) holds a 4-point lead over Rep. Todd Akin (R-MO) in Missouri's nationally watched Senate race that's playing out in Missouri, according to a survey by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released Sunday.

McCaskill claims the support of 48 percent of likely Missouri voters, while Akin trails with 44 percent — a two point uptick for the conservative GOP congressman since PPP's last poll of the race two weeks ago. Libertarian candidate Jonathan Dine, a possible spoiler to Akin, earns the support of 6 percent, just as he did in the late-October poll.

Elected in 2006, McCaskill was widely identified as one of the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents this cycle. But Akin's infamous "legitimate rape" remarks in August redefined the race, and gave McCaskill's once-dim re-election hopes new life. 

The tumultuous final three months of Akin's campaign are reflected in the PollTracker Average, which currently shows McCaskill leading by almost 4 points. 

PPP conducted it survey Nov. 2-3 using automated interviews with 835 likely Missouri voters. It has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

Same-sex marriage has been defeated each time it's appeared on a state ballot, but two polls released this weekend indicated that the LGBT community's long-awaited electoral breakthrough may come in Maine and Minnesota on Tuesday.

A poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released late Saturday shows 52 percent of likely Minnesota voters oppose a proposed constitutional amendment to recognize marriage between a man and woman as the only valid union in the state. Forty-five percent support the amendment. PPP's previous Minnesota survey conducted in early-October showed a decidedly tighter race.

In Maine, a survey from in-state pollster Critical Insights released Sunday shows 55 percent of likely voters support a referendum to provide legal recognition to same-sex marriage. Opposition to the measure has jumped 7 points to 42 percent since the previous Critical Insights poll in June, while support has remained largely static.

PPP's survey was conducted Nov. 2-3 using automated interviews with 1,164 likely Minnesota voters with a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. The Critical Insights poll was conducted on behalf of the Portland Press Herald and Maine Sunday Telegram on Oct. 30-31 using live phone interviews with 613 likely Maine voters. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points. 

Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) leads Republican challenger Rep. Connie Mack (R-FL) by 6 points, according to a new poll from Mason-Dixon out Sunday.

The poll — conducted on behalf of a handful of in-state news organizations — shows Nelson falling just shy of 50 percent, earning the support of 49 percent of likely Florida voters. Mack trails with 43 percent. 

A two-term incumbent, Nelson's seat has been heavily targetted by the GOP in its effort to re-claim control of the Senate and the race has emerged as one of the nastiest of the 2012 cycle. Sunday's poll indicates that Nelson, who has led consistently throughout the cycle, remains in a strong position to survive his most difficult race since 2000, when he succeeded Mack's father.

The poll was conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1 using live phone interviews with likely 800 Florida voters. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average shows Nelson a shade above 50 percent and leading Mack by 7 points.


President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each earn the support of 48 percent of likely voters nationwide in the latest  Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll released on Sunday.

Obama led Romney by a point in the previous Politico/GWU survey conducted during the final full week of October. The latest poll was conducted Oct. 29-Nov. 1 using live phone interviews with 1,000 likely voters. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.