Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

The final presidential race is tied nationally, according to a poll from Fox News released Wednesday night.

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each earn the support of 46 percent of likely voters nationwide, a slight change from the previous Fox poll that was conducted shortly after the first presidential debate on Oct. 3.  That poll showed Romney edging Obama by a point.

From Fox's analysis:

Independents give the edge to Romney by seven percentage points (46-39 percent).  That’s down from a 12-point advantage in early October.  

There’s a gender gap in vote preference, as men back Romney by 51-42 percent, while women side with Obama by 50-42 percent.  

The new Fox poll finds Obama under-performing compared to his 2008 exit poll numbers by 13 percentage points among independents, 9 points among white men, 6 points among women and 4 points among voters under age 30.  

Among the subgroup of most interested voters, those who are “extremely” interested in the election, Romney leads Obama by 53-42 percent.

The latest poll was conducted Oct. 28-30 using live phone interviews with 1,182 likely voters across the country. Fox noted that interviews with respondents in areas affected by Hurricane Sandy were conducted before Monday evening. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Obama claims a lead of a little more than a point in the PollTracker Average. 

After watching his double-digit leads in Wisconsin vanish following the first debate earlier this month, President Barack Obama has re-asserted himself as the favorite in the Badger State, a poll released Wednesday shows.

The latest Marquette University Law School Poll shows Obama crossing the 50 percent threshold to open up an 8-point lead over Mitt Romney in Wisconsin, 51 percent to 43 percent. It caps what has been a roller coaster month-and-a-half for the president in Marquette's polling.

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President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each pick up the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationally in Wednesday's release of the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll.

The Republican nominee led in the previous ABC/WaPo poll 49 percent to 48 percent.

Wednesday's survey was conducted during the tracking period of Oct. 27-30 using live phone interviews with 1,288 likely voters nationally. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows the president leading by a point.


President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 5 points nationally, according to a poll released Wednesday afternoon.

The final United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll shows Obama earning the support of 50 percent of likely voters to Romney's 45 percent.  

Princeton Survey Research Associates International conducted the poll Oct. 25-28 using live phone interviews with 713 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average shows Obama inching ahead Romney by a point after the two were previously deadlocked. 

President Obama's leads in Florida and Virginia have evaporated, but he remains on solid footing in the all-important bellwether of Ohio, according to the latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times released early Wednesday morning.

The polls reflect a late theme in this year's campaign: even as the race tightens or tilts in Mitt Romney's favor elsewhere, Ohio remains stubbornly in the president's column. Wednesday's poll of the Buckeye State shows Obama earning 50 percent support among likely voters there, while Romney trails with 45 percent — identical to the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll of Ohio a little more than a week ago.

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A majority of Americans, 54 percent, believe President Barack Obama will secure re-election next week, according to a poll from Gallup released on Wednesday. 

The poll shows only 34 percent predict a victory for Republican nominee Mitt Romney. More than 50 percent also predicted an Obama victory in Gallup's polling in August and May.

Democrats are feeling more bullish about their candidate than Republicans. Eighty-six percent of Democrats believe Obama will be the winner on Tuesday, compared with 71 percent of Republicans who envision a Romney win.

But while a mere 8 percent of Democrats pick Romney as the likely winner, 19 percent of Republicans believe it will be Obama who emerges with more than 270 electoral votes.

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by 5 points in North Carolina, according to a poll released Tuesday evening.

The automated poll from SurveyUSA, conducted on behalf of WRAL-TV in Raleigh, shows Romney reaching 50 percent and outpacing Obama, who trails with the support of 45 percent of likely Tar Heel State voters.

With a week to go until Election Day, Romney has asserted himself as the clear favorite in North Carolina. The PollTracker Average shows the separation he's gained there in the last month, as the state has moved to the "leans Romney" column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.


A poll released Monday shows that President Obama has shed much of the star power that electrified college campuses in 2008.

The poll from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE) shows Obama leading Mitt Romney 52 percent to 35 percent among people aged 18 to 29 years old who are "extremely likely to vote." (Being "extremely likely to vote" was CIRCLE's likely voter screen.)

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Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by a point in the latest national tracking poll from ABC News and the Washington Post released Tuesday.

The poll shows Romney claiming the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationally, while Obama trails with 48 percent. Obama and Romney were tied in Monday's tracking ABC/WaPo tracking poll, but as the Post's Jon Cohen notes, the latest survey marks "the fifth straight day that a single percentage point (or less) has separated the two candidates."

Romney's lead over Obama is currently less than a point in the PollTracker Average.