Yowco8c348ndhwfezgxi

Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

Freshman Rep. Nan Hayworth (R-NY) holds a 7-point lead over her Democratic challenger in New York's 18th District, according to a poll from Siena Research Institute released Friday.

The poll shows Hayworth, a tea party-backed candidate who was swept into office by the Republican wave two years ago, leading Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney among likely voters in the district 49 percent to 42 percent.  

A former aide to Elliot Spitzer and Bill Clinton, Maloney has gained ground on Hayworth since the previous Siena poll a month ago.  In that poll, Hayworth led by 13 points, but there was some indication that Working Families Party (WFP) candidate Lary Weissmann was siphoning votes from Maloney at the time.  Weissmann is no longer running, and the WFP has since endorsed Maloney.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Hayworth holding a roughly 5-point lead over Maloney.

 

The A.P. reports:

The CIA station chief in Libya reported to Washington within 24 hours of last month's deadly attack on the U.S. Consulate that there was evidence it was carried out by militants, not a spontaneous mob upset about an American-made video ridiculing Islam's Prophet Muhammad, U.S. officials have told The Associated Press.

It is unclear who, if anyone, saw the cable outside the CIA at that point and how high up in the agency the information went.

Rep. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) leads Tommy Thompson by 4 points in Wisconsin's Senate race, according to a poll released Thursday night.  

The poll, from NBC News, Marist College and the Wall Street Journal, shows Baldwin leading Thompson among likely Badger State voters 49 percent to 45 percent.  Those results diverge from a poll released earlier this week from Marquette University Law School that showed Thompson, the state's former governor, edging Baldwin by a point.  

After trailing for much of the summer, Baldwin surged past Thompson in most polls during the month of September. The PollTracker Average currently shows Baldwin maintaining the lead she built last month to hold a slim advantage over Thompson.

 

President Barack Obama's lead in Colorado is down to 3, according to a survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released Thursday.

The poll shows Obama leading Romney among likely voters in the state 50 percent to 47 percent. That's the president's smallest lead in PPP's polling of the Centennial State all year and a dip from the 6-point lead he held prior to the first presidential debate in Denver earlier this month.

Read More →

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are locked in a tie, according to the inaugural tracking poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) on Thursday.

The automated poll, conducted Oct. 15-17 on behalf of the progressive group Americans United for Change, shows Obama and Romney each earning the support of 48 percent of likely voters nationwide.  Half of voters surveyed disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, while 46 percent approve.  

Obama does not claim an edge over Romney in the area of personal popularity — a departure from a trend that has spanned the majority of the campaign.  Thursday's poll shows 47 percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of the president, compared with 49 percent who have an unfavorable opinion.  But opinion of Romney is also divided: 47 percent view the Republican nominee favorably, while another 47 percent have an unfavorable view.  

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 1 in Ohio, according to an automated survey from Republican-leaning Rasmussen released on Thursday.  

The one day snap poll, conducted on Oct. 17 after Tuesday's town hall debate, shows Obama edging Romney among likely Buckeye State voters, 49 percent to 48 percent.  Obama has held a 1-point lead over Romney in Rasmussen's previous four surveys of Ohio, dating back to September 12.  

The PollTracker Average currently places Ohio in toss-up territory on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard, after Obama had maintained a consistent advantage there throughout the campaign.

 

Democratic candidate Elizabeth Warren has built a 9-point lead over Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) in the closely watched Massachusetts Senate race, a poll released Wednesday shows.

The latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Warren leading Brown among likely Bay State voters 53 percent to 44 percent.  That's Warren's largest lead in PPP's polling and also a 3-point bounce from a week ago.  Last week, PPP showed the Harvard law professor holding a 6-point lead over Brown.  

Equally disconcerting for the Republican incumbent is his declining approval rating.  Massachusetts voters are split when it comes to Brown's job performance in Wednesday's poll, with 46 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving.  In last week's poll, 49 percent approved of Brown's job performance, while 42 percent disapproved.  PPP's latest survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters, a group that has endorsed Warren.

The PollTracker Average shows Warren's lead growing to roughly 6 points. 

 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 in Ohio in a poll from SurveyUSA.

The automated poll, conducted Oct. 12-15 on behalf of Columbus-based NBC affiliate WCMH-TV, shows Obama leading Romney among likely Buckeye State voters, 45 percent to 42 percent.  Nine percent said they remain undecided.  Obama's lead over Romney swells among Ohio voters who have already cast their ballots, 57 percent to 38 percent.  The two are tied among those who haven't voted yet.  

Obama led by only a point in SurveyUSA's previous poll of Ohio, conducted the first weekend of October. The PollTracker Average shows the president with a tiny lead there.  

President Barack Obama's once-massive lead in Wisconsin is now virtually nonexistent, according to a poll released Wednesday.

The latest Marquette University Law School poll shows Obama with a negligible lead over Mitt Romney among likely Badger State voters, 49 percent to 48 percent. That's a big dip for Obama since Marquette's previous two polls, both of which were conducted prior to the Oct. 3 debate in Denver. In Marquette's mid-September poll, Obama claimed a 14-point lead in Wisconsin. The president's lead shrunk some by the end of September, but Marquette still showed him up 11.

Read More →

A super PAC mailer hitting homes this week for the Indiana Senate race has rankled the very person the candidates are trying to replace.

Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN), who lost his primary earlier this year to tea party-backed candidate Richard Mourdock, blasted the mailer on Wednesday for claiming he now supports his former opponent. His office released a statement calling the ad "misleading."

Read More →

TPMLivewire