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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

In their pitch to the Hispanic community, Republicans have assailed President Barack Obama for failing to pursue immigration reform in his first term.  But a new poll out Thursday shows that a strong majority of Latino voters approve of Obama's handling of immigration.

The latest poll from Fox News shows that 58 percent of likely Latino voters approve of Obama's job performance on immigration, compared with 32 percent who disapprove.  It's a sign that Obama continues to benefit politically from his directive, announced in June, to suspend deportations for some young illegal immigrants.  

In a forum broadcast online by the Spanish-language network Univision on Wednesday, Romney criticized Obama for not delivering a "permanent solution" on immigration.  Obama will participate in a forum with Univision on Thursday.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama leading Romney by 40.3 points among Latinos, a commanding advantage he has claimed throughout the campaign.

 

In a departure from a recent trend, a new poll released Wednesday shows Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) holding a 4-point lead over Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren in the closely watched Massachusetts Senate race.  

The poll, conducted by the University of Massachusetts-Lowell and commissioned by the Boston Herald, shows Brown edging Warren among likely voters, 49 percent to 45 percent — a lead that is within the survey's 5.5 percent margin-of-error. 

A number of polls released in the last week have shown Warren, in a post-convention surge, grabbing the lead from Brown.  The PollTracker Average reflects this trend and currently shows Warren leading by less than 2 points, after Brown held a small lead for much of the summer.

  

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 nationwide, a new poll released Thursday shows, with only a tiny sliver of the electorate still up for grabs.

The latest poll from the University of Connecticut and the Hartford Courant shows Obama leading Romney among likely voters, 46 percent to 43 percent.  By large margins, Obama is viewed as the better candidate to represent the middle class and women.  

Forty-four percent also say the president is the more trustworthy candidate, compared with 36 percent who believe that Romney is more trustworthy.  And by a slightly narrower margin, 37 percent to 33 percent, voters believe the Republican nominee has run a more negative campaign than Obama.

The poll also highlights what will likely be the defining struggle between the two campaigns in the final stretch: winning over the small portion of undecided voters.  Only 8 percent of likely voters in Thursday's survey say they have not made up their minds.

The PollTracker Average shows Obama holding on to his post-convention momentum, as he currently leads Romney by 3.9 points.

 

President Barack Obama has opened up a 14-point lead in Wisconsin, according to a new poll.

Mitt Romney's selection of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan solidified the Badger State as a battleground, but a successful month for Obama and continuing campaign woes for Romney have blunted the GOP's momentum there. The Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday shows Obama leading Romney among likely Wisconsin voters, 54 percent to 40 percent.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama leading Romney by 6.3 points in Wisconsin, eclipsing the 50 percent threshold in the last month.

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President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 8 points in Michigan, according to a new poll from CNN released Wednesday.

The poll shows Obama earning the support of 52 percent of likely Michigan voters, while Romney trails with 44 percent.  Obama's advantage is built upon a 5-point lead among men and an 11-point lead among women.  

Although the presidential race looked competitive there at times in the summer, Michigan has clearly tipped in Obama's favor over the last month.  The PollTracker Average of Michigan currently shows Obama holding a 6.9-point lead over Romney, who has been trending downward since the end of August.

 

The Republican National Committee on Wednesday responded quickly to a surprising new poll from Marquette University Law School that shows President Barack Obama opening up a 14-point lead in Wisconsin.  Nicole Tieman, the RNC's communications director in Wisconsin, released a statement that seeks to highlight Obama's desperation to retain a state that was once solidly in his column.

Wisconsin is a crucial swing state that the Obama Campaign is clearly worried about losing. The President turned his back on his most loyal supporters during the recall election, has been absent from the state for over 200 days, and has implemented policies that have made Wisconsinites worse off. Now, after seeing the growing Republican momentum and enthusiastic support for Governor Romney and Congressman Ryan’s plan to strengthen Wisconsin’s small business and middle class families, the President is scrabbling to regain the support he’s lost since the 2008 election.  President Obama’s upcoming visit to Milwaukee, paired with ad buys to be released next week show a President desperate to hang on to a state his campaign once thought was safely in their camp. In November, Wisconsin voters will choose a new direction and prove them wrong.

With a strengthened position on the economy, President Barack Obama claims clear leads in two swing states, including in Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan's native Wisconsin, while the race is tight in a western battleground, according to a new slate of polls released Wednesday.

The latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times show Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely voters in Wisconsin (51 percent to 45 percent) and in Virginia (50 percent to 46 percent), while the president narrowly edges his GOP challenger in Colorado (48 percent to 47 percent).

Obama's lead in Wisconsin represents a bump for the Democratic ticket from a month ago, when the the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll showed the president hanging on to a 2-point edge among likely voters in the state. Coinciding with Obama's expanded lead in the Badger State is a shift in voters' preference over which candidate is better-suited to preside over the economy. A month ago, 49 percent of Wisconsin voters said Romney would do a better job on the economy, compared with 43 percent who preferred Obama on the issue.

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President Barack Obama holds a 2-point lead over Mitt Romney among voters in 12 swing states, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll released Wednesday.

In a composite poll of registered voters across a handful of key states, Obama leads Romney, 48 percent to 46 percent.  The president has held a 2-3 since May in USA Today/Gallup swing state polling, which includes samples of voters from Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

A poll from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times also released on Wednesday shows Obama holding solid leads in Virginia and Wisconsin, while holding a slim 1-point edge in Colorado.

Massachusetts Democratic senate candidate Elizabeth Warren claims a lead in another post-convention poll, with a new survey out Wednesday showing her leading Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) by 5 points.

The poll, conducted by MassINC Polling Group on behalf of Boston-based radio station WBUR, shows Warren leading Brown among likely voters (with leaners included), 47 percent to 42 percent.  Three other polls released this week also showed Warren moving ahead of Brown, after the Republican incumbent had seemingly asserted himself as the favorite in August.  

The PollTracker Average, which currently shows Warren leading by 3.3 points, reflects her recent surge. 

President Barack Obama holds leads 4 points and 6 points in Virginia and Wisconsin respectively, while clinging to a 1-point edge in Colorado, according to a new batch of swing state polls released Wednesday.

The latest polls from the latest polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times, Obama leads Mitt Romney in Virginia, 50 percent to 46 percent, and in Wiscosnin, 51 percent to 45 percent.  Obama's lead in Colorado is smaller and within the poll's margin-of-error, 48 percent to 47 percent.

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