Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Obama's leads in Florida and Virginia have evaporated, but he remains on solid footing in the all-important bellwether of Ohio, according to the latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times released early Wednesday morning.

The polls reflect a late theme in this year's campaign: even as the race tightens or tilts in Mitt Romney's favor elsewhere, Ohio remains stubbornly in the president's column. Wednesday's poll of the Buckeye State shows Obama earning 50 percent support among likely voters there, while Romney trails with 45 percent — identical to the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll of Ohio a little more than a week ago.

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A majority of Americans, 54 percent, believe President Barack Obama will secure re-election next week, according to a poll from Gallup released on Wednesday. 

The poll shows only 34 percent predict a victory for Republican nominee Mitt Romney. More than 50 percent also predicted an Obama victory in Gallup's polling in August and May.

Democrats are feeling more bullish about their candidate than Republicans. Eighty-six percent of Democrats believe Obama will be the winner on Tuesday, compared with 71 percent of Republicans who envision a Romney win.

But while a mere 8 percent of Democrats pick Romney as the likely winner, 19 percent of Republicans believe it will be Obama who emerges with more than 270 electoral votes.

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by 5 points in North Carolina, according to a poll released Tuesday evening.

The automated poll from SurveyUSA, conducted on behalf of WRAL-TV in Raleigh, shows Romney reaching 50 percent and outpacing Obama, who trails with the support of 45 percent of likely Tar Heel State voters.

With a week to go until Election Day, Romney has asserted himself as the clear favorite in North Carolina. The PollTracker Average shows the separation he's gained there in the last month, as the state has moved to the "leans Romney" column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.


A poll released Monday shows that President Obama has shed much of the star power that electrified college campuses in 2008.

The poll from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE) shows Obama leading Mitt Romney 52 percent to 35 percent among people aged 18 to 29 years old who are "extremely likely to vote." (Being "extremely likely to vote" was CIRCLE's likely voter screen.)

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Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by a point in the latest national tracking poll from ABC News and the Washington Post released Tuesday.

The poll shows Romney claiming the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationally, while Obama trails with 48 percent. Obama and Romney were tied in Monday's tracking ABC/WaPo tracking poll, but as the Post's Jon Cohen notes, the latest survey marks "the fifth straight day that a single percentage point (or less) has separated the two candidates."

Romney's lead over Obama is currently less than a point in the PollTracker Average.


President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are tied for the second consecutive week in the Daily Kos/SEIU Weekly State of the Nation Poll.

The poll, conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling and released on Tuesday, shows Obama and Romney each picking up the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationwide. In last week's Kos/SEIU Poll, both men earned 48 percent support.

Tuesday's poll was conducted Oct. 25-28 using automated phone interviews with 1400 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points.

Less than a point currently separates Romney from Obama in the PollTracker Average.


President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney are completely tied in Florida, according to the latest automated poll from SurveyUSA.

The poll shows Obama and Romney each earning the support of 47 percent of likely Sunshine State voters, while the president claims commanding leads among early voters.

Fifty-seven percent of Florida voters who said they have already cast a ballot did so for the president, compared with 42 percent who indicated they have already voted for Romney. Obama also leads by 10 among those who intend to vote early, while Romney holds a 13-point lead among voters who plan to wait for Election Day.

The PollTracker Average currently shows very little separating the two candidates in Florida, which is designated as a toss-up state on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.


Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by a mere point nationally, according to a poll from National Public Radio released on Tuesday.

The poll shows Romney leading Obama among likely voters nationwide 49 percent to 48 percent. Obama and Romney are both viewed favorably by 51 percent of voters surveyed, while the president's approval rating is split: 49 percent approve of the job he is doing, compared with 49 percent who disapprove. The poll also shows that 35 percent of voters have either already cast a ballot or intend to vote early.

NPR's poll was conducted Oct. 23-25 using live phone interviews with 1000 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

Romney currently holds a minuscule lead over Obama in the PollTracker Average.