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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a reporter for Talking Points Memo based in New York City, covering media and national affairs. Originally from South Dakota, Tom joined TPM as an intern in late-2011 and became a staff member during the 2012 election. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

It turns out it's hard for pollsters to capture the opinions of America's fastest growing minority group. So hard, according to one researcher in the field, that many polling outfits have misfired in their attempts to survey Latino voters in this year's election.

Matt Barreto, founding principal at the research firm Latino Decisions and professor at the University of Washington, said on Thursday that his work has shown pollsters are often sloppy when they field a Latino sample.

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Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by a point in Friday's tracking poll from ABC News and the Washington Post.

The poll shows Romney with the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationwide, while Obama trails with 48 percent — a flip from Thursday's tracking poll.

ABC/WaPo's latest survey was conducted Oct. 29-Nov. 1 using live phone interviews with 1,535 likely voters across the country. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Obama currently leads Romney by less than a half-point, according to the PollTracker Average.

President Barack Obama earns the support of half of likely voters and leads Mitt Romney by 3 points in Ohio, according to the latest poll from CNN out Friday afternoon.

The poll shows 50 percent of likely Buckeye State voters giving the nod to Obama, while 47 percent support Romney. Obama's 3-point edge amounts to a modest tightening since CNN's late-October survey of Ohio, which showed the president leading by 4. The Republican nominee has ticked up a point since that poll.

CNN's latest survey was conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1 using live phone interviews with 796 likely Ohio voters. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

Obama leads by just a shade less than 2 points in Ohio, according to the PollTracker Average.

 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 2 points in ultra competitive battleground of Colorado, according to a new poll released Friday.

The automated poll from Survey USA, conducted on behalf of the Denver Post, shows Obama earning the support of 47 percent of likely Colorado voters. Romney trails with 45 percent support.

The results of Friday's poll are a reverse from the previous SurveyUSA/Denver Post release in early-October, which showed Romney ahead by a point.

SurveyUSA conducted the latest poll Oct. 28-31 using automated interviews with 695 likely Colorado voters. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average shows the president with a comparable 2-point edge in Colorado, where he has been trending up in recent weeks. Colorado is currently in the "leans Obama" category on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.

 

President Barack Obama earns the support of half of likely Colorado voters and leads Mitt Romney by 4 points there, according to a new automated survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling.

The poll shows Obama earning the support of 50 percent of Centennial State voters, while Romney trails with 46 percent. It's little change from PPP's Colroado survey last week, which showed the president crossing the 50 percent mark and leading Romney by 4 points.

PPP conducted the latest poll Oct. 31-Nov. 1 using automated interviews with 821 likely Colorado voters. It has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points. The poll was commissioned by the League of Conservation Voters, a group that has endorsed Obama.

Obama has inched ahead of Romney by a little more than 2 points in Colorado, according to the PollTracker Average. 

Republican Mia Love leads Rep. Jim Matheson (D-UT) by 12 points in Utah's 4th Congressional District, according to a poll released Friday.

The latest poll from Mason-Dixon, conducted on behalf of The Salt Lake Tribune, shows Love earning the support of 52 percent of likely voters in the district. Matheson, a six-term incumbent and the only Democrat in Utah's Congressional delegation, trails with 40 percent support.

Love has been backed heavily by party leaders and she was given a prominent speaking slot at the Republican National Convention in August. Her candidacy as also won her national attention. If elected next week, Love will become the first black Republican woman in Congress.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Love ahead of Matheson by a little less than 6 points.

 

Republican Richard Mourdock faces a double-digit deficit in Indiana's U.S. Senate race, according to a poll released Friday morning. 

The latest poll released jointly by local blog Howey Politics Indiana and in-state institution DePauw University shows Rep. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) opening up a wide lead over Mourdock, the state treasurer and tea party champion who ousted Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN) in a primary last spring. Donnelly earns the support of 47 percent of Hoosier State voters, while Mourdock trails with 36 percent.

A bipartisan team of pollsters conducted the survey Oct. 28-30, entirely after the final debate of the race wherein Mourdock made controversial remarks regarding rape and abortion. The poll is based on live phone interviews with 800 likely Indiana voters. Its margin of error has not yet been disclosed.

Donnelly holds a 2-point edge over Mourdock in the PollTracker Average.

 

Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling returned with its national tracking poll Thursday night to show President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by one point.

The poll shows Obama picking up the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationwide, while Romney earns 48 percent support — a flip since PPP's previously released tracking survey on Monday, which showed the Republican nominee edging the president by a single point.

PPP's tracking poll was suspended this week due to Hurricane Sandy. The latest poll was conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1 using automated interviews with 1,200 likely voters across the country. It has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama with a slim lead, but trending slightly upward. 

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by a single point in North Carolina, according to a poll released Thursday from in-state institution High Point University.

The poll shows Romney picking up the support of 46 percent of Tar Heel State voters, while Obama trails with 45 percent — a flip from High Point's conducted in late-September and early-October that showed the president leading by a point. 

High Point's latest poll was conducted Oct. 22-30 using live phone interviews with 403 North Carolina voters, an oversample from its national survey that was also released Thursday. It has a margin of error of 5 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Romney with a lead of less than 2 points in North Carolina. 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 points nationally, according to a new poll released Thursday.

The latest poll from High Point University shows Obama earning the support of 46 percent of voters nationwide, while Romney trails with 43 percent support.

High Point conducted the poll Oct. 22-30 using live phone interviews with 805 voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 3.45 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama holding a 2-point edge over Romney. 

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