Yowco8c348ndhwfezgxi

Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama holds small leads among likely voters nationwide, according to two polls released Monday morning, although Mitt Romney remains in striking distance.

One poll, from ABC News and the Washington Post, shows Obama leading Romney 49 percent to 46 percent, little change from their survey in late September that showed Obama up by 2 points. Thirty-seven percent of likely voters have a more favorable view of Romney following his performance in the first debate in Denver, compared with a mere 8 percent who now have a more positive impression of the president. But 72 percent said the debate did not change how they view Obama, and 47 percent indicated that their views of Romney were unchanged.

Read More →

President Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania, according to a poll released Monday.

The latest poll conducted by Muhlenberg College on behalf of The Morning Call shows Obama leading Romney among likely Keystone State voters, 49 percent to 45 percent.  Obama led Romney by 7 points in Muhlenberg's poll of Pennsylvania in late-September.

Four tea party-backed House candidates in New York used sharp criticism of President Obama to secure election in 2010. Two years later, his mere presence on the ballot may jeopardize their prospects.

Democrats believe New York is prime turf to take back seats and slice into the GOP's majority in the House of Representatives. The four freshmen — Ann Marie Buerkle, Nan Hayworth, Chris Gibson and Michael Grimm — are being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red-to-Blue" campaign. And their challengers are all employing similar strategies by attacking them for a pair of conservative House votes and hoping Obama's popularity in the state will result in more voters casting a ballot for Democrats this year.

Read More →

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama among likely voters nationwide, 49 percent to 47 percent, in Sunday's edition of Gallup's daily tracking poll.  The poll was conducted Oct. 7-13.  

It's the third consecutive day the Republican nominee has led the president by such a margin in Gallup's tracking.  Obama has not led Romney among likely voters in the national tracking survey since Gallup shifted to the narrower sample last week.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Romney with a narrow lead, 47.6 percent to 46.4 percent.

 

Although President Barack Obama has seen solid leads evaporate in the last week, a poll released Saturday night suggests that Ohio may continue to serve as a firewall for his campaign.

The latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely Ohio voters, 51 percent to 46 percent. That's little change from PPP's pre-debate poll of Ohio two weeks ago, which showed Obama up 4.

Read More →

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney remain virtually tied in the fifth installment of a daily tracking poll sponsored by Investors Business Daily and released on Saturday.  

Obama holds a tiny lead over Romney among likely voters, 46.4 percent to 45.7 percent — identical to the results of Friday's tracking poll.    The pollsters indicated that Saturday's results, based on responses gathered Oct. 7-12, serve as further evidence that Romney's post-debate momentum has begun to recede.

Romney still claims a slim lead over Obama in the PollTracker Average, 47.6 percent to 46.4 percent. 

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by 2 points, 49 percent to 47 percent, in Gallup's latest daily tracking poll released Friday afternoon — amounting to no change since Friday's release.  Saturday's poll is based on responses from likely voters nationwide gathered during the 7-day tracking period of Oct. 6-12.

But Saturday's poll also shows Obama's approval rating dipping below 50 percent for only the third time in the previous 12 releases — and the first time since last Sunday — although a slight plurality still approves of the president's job performance.  Forty-eight percent of American adults interviewed during the 3-day tracking period of Oct. 10-12 approve of the job Obama is doing as president, compared with 46 percent who disapprove. 

The PollTracker Average currently shows Romney edging Obama, 47.6 percent to 46.4 percent.

 

Mitt Romney holds a 1-point lead over President Barack Obama in Colorado, according to a poll released Friday.

The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA on behalf of the Denver Post, shows Romney edging Obama among likely voters in the state, 48 percent to 47 percent.  While Romney's slight advantage is a reversal from the 1-point lead Obama held in the Denver Post's early-September poll, it's still well within the margin-of-error in Friday's poll and essentially amounts to a tie.  

Despite Romney's gains — both in the latest Denver Post poll and other surveys this week — 83 percent of Colorado voters said the first presidential debate did not change their mind.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Romney with a slim lead in Colorado, which is in the toss-up column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.

 

The Thursday night debate between Vice President Joe Biden and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) resulted in a split-decision, according to a snap poll from CNN/ORC International.

Forty-eight percent of registered voters who watched the debate in Dansville, Ky. said that Ryan was the winner, while 44 said Biden ended up on top.  That's within the poll's margin of error of 5 percentage points.

Keating Holland, polling director for CNN, urged caution to those trying to derive too much meaning from the poll, highlighting the limits of such a survey.  Holland also acknowledged that the poll's sample of debate watchers included more Republicans than the average of recent CNN polls. 

The CNN poll was conducted immediately after the debate using live phone interviews with 381 registered voters nationwide who watched the debate.

TPMLivewire