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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

President Barack Obama holds a 5-point lead in Ohio, according to a poll released Monday.

In the latest poll released jointly by Quinnipiac University and the CBS News, Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely Buckeye State voters 50 percent to 45 percent. While the lead is outside the poll's margin of error, it represents a dip from the previous Quinnipiac/CBS survey in September that showed Obama up by 10 in Ohio

Monday's poll shows Obama leading big among early voters in Ohio, 54 percent to 39 percent, while also holding a smaller 2-point edge among those who intend to cast their ballots on Election Day.

The PollTracker Average currently shows the president with a little more than a 2-point lead in Ohio, placing the state in the "leans Obama" category on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.

 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 2 points in Virginia, according to a survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released Saturday.

The poll shows Obama edging Romney among likely voters in the Commonwealth 49 percent to 47 percent, a lead that falls within the survey's margin of error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Obama has led Romney in each poll of Virginia conducted after the first debate on Oct. 3 in Denver. 

The president leads in Saturday's poll despite a negative approval rating and a personal popularity that is weaker than Romney's.  

Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters surveyed disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, compared with 45 percent who approve.  And 51 percent said they have an unfavorable view of Obama, while 48 percent view him favorably. Forty-nine percent have a favorable opinion of the Republican nominee, slightly more than the 47 percent who have an unfavorable impression. PPP conducted the survey on behalf of Health Care for America Now, a coalition founded to promote the Affordable Care Act.

The PollTracker Average shows Romney with a narrow lead in Virginia, which is currently in the toss-up column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.

 

With the first two debates in the books, President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are essentially tied in Florida, according to a poll from CNN and ORC International on Friday.

The poll, conducted over the two days following Tuesday's town hall debate, shows Romney barely leading Obama among likely Sunshine State voters 49 percent to 48 percent — well within the survey's margin of error.  

Romney holds a roughly 3-point edge over Obama in Florida, according to the PollTracker Average.

 

A majority of Americans who tuned in to Tuesday's town hall debate in Hempstead, N.Y. said President Barack Obama outperformed Mitt Romney, a new poll from Gallup released Friday shows.

According to the poll, 51 percent of debate watchers said Obama was the winner of the second debate, while 38 percent judged Romney the winner.

While that's a clear victory for the president, it's a much narrower margin than what Gallup showed in its poll following the first debate.  A staggering 72 percent of Americans who watched that debate — held on Oct. 3 in Denver — said Romney was the winner, compared with only 20 percent who gave the edge to Obama.  That made for the largest margin of victory in the history of Gallup's post-debate polling.

 

 

Just as it did four years, The Denver Post has endorsed President Barack Obama.  The newspaper announced its endorsement Friday in an editorial.  

From the editorial:

With the nation mired in two wars and amid an economic meltdown, we endorsed a largely untested young senator from Illinois for president in 2008.

Four years later, the Iraq war is over, the war in Afghanistan has a conclusion in sight, and the economy has made demonstrable — though hardly remarkable — progress.

As President Barack Obama campaigns for re-election, it would be a stretch to say we are bullish on the entirety of his first term. There have been notable accomplishments: rescuing the nation's auto industry, passing comprehensive (though contentious) health-care reform, and delivering justice to Osama bin Laden. But those accomplishments are juxtaposed against a sluggish economy and less impressive performances in tackling the federal debt and deficits, reducing unemployment and bolstering the housing market.


Read the whole endorsement here.

President Barack Obama has a 1-point lead in the second daily tracking survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released on Friday.

Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters nationwide 48 percent to 47 percent.  The two candidates were tied in the debut of PPP's tracking poll on Thursday, with each earning the support of 48 percent.  Friday's poll was conducted Oct. 16-18, with PPP noting that Obama led Romney on each night following Tuesday's town hall debate.

The PollTracker Average also shows Obama moving ahead to claim a 1-point lead.

 

Freshman Rep. Nan Hayworth (R-NY) holds a 7-point lead over her Democratic challenger in New York's 18th District, according to a poll from Siena Research Institute released Friday.

The poll shows Hayworth, a tea party-backed candidate who was swept into office by the Republican wave two years ago, leading Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney among likely voters in the district 49 percent to 42 percent.  

A former aide to Elliot Spitzer and Bill Clinton, Maloney has gained ground on Hayworth since the previous Siena poll a month ago.  In that poll, Hayworth led by 13 points, but there was some indication that Working Families Party (WFP) candidate Lary Weissmann was siphoning votes from Maloney at the time.  Weissmann is no longer running, and the WFP has since endorsed Maloney.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Hayworth holding a roughly 5-point lead over Maloney.

 

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