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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

In Gallup's final pre-election poll earlier this week, President Barack Obama led among women voters by 12 points while Mitt Romney held an 8-point edge among men.

That, according to the national research organization, created the largest gender gap "since it began compiling the vote by major subgroups in 1952." The chart below, courtesy of Gallup, illustrates how the gender gap in this year's campaign stacks up historically.

According to Gallup, Obama's smaller margin of victory in 2012 was attributed to Romney performing more strongly among male voters than Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) did four years ago.

More from Gallup:

Notably, Obama's 12-percentage-point advantage among women is slightly less than the 14-point advantage he had over John McCain in 2008, while Romney improved on McCain's performance among men by eight points. Thus, the narrowing of Obama's winning margin between the two elections, from seven points to two points, can be ascribed mainly to men's shifting more Republican.

 

Vice President Joe Biden has thus far done little to suppress speculation that he could launch his own run to the White House at the end of President Obama's second term. On Thursday, he offered a clue on what might ultimately determine his decision: the health of the nation's economy in 2016.

“There’s plenty of time to think about 2016,” Biden said, quoted by the Wilmington News Journal. “We’ve got to get this economy working. If three years from now the economy is not working, it’s not going to be worth doing much. This is all about making Barack an incredibly successful second-term president. That’s my focus.”

Newark, N.J. Mayor Cory Booker (D) will reportedly make a decision soon on whether or not to challenge Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ) in next year's gubernatorial election. 

According to a report in The Newark Star-Ledger on Thursday, Booker will finalize his plans by next month after he meets with prospective fundraisers on the West Coast to evaluate their level of support.

Former secretary of state Condoleezza Rice on Friday echoed the sentiments of many of her fellow Republicans who believe the party fell well short in winning support of some key, growing constituencies. Namely, she said, the GOP sent "mixed messages" on issues related to immigration and women.

"On the immigration issue, which turned out to be very important, and some issues about women too, some mixed messages were sent," Rice said during an appearance on CBS This Morning. "And when you send mixed messages through the narrow funnel that is the media spotlight sometimes people hear only one side of that message."

Watch:

 

Reuters reports:

President Vladimir Putin dismissed the chief of staff of Russia's armed forces on Friday in a reshuffle of the military top brass, three days after sacking his defence minister following a corruption scandal.

Putin removed General Nikolai Makarov as his top general and replaced him with General Valery Gerasimov, the commander of Russia's forces in the central military district who has served in the turbulent Chechnya region.

In a statement provided to the Louisville Courier-Journal on Thursday, actress Ashley Judd did not rule out a potential challenge to Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in 2014. Speculation is rife that Judd, a Kentucky native, could be the Democratic nominee against the vulnerable Minority Leader.

The statement:

I cherish Kentucky, heart and soul, and while I’m very honored by the consideration, we have just finished an election, so let’s focus on coming together to keep moving America’s families, and especially our kids, forward.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday said that his country will resume "business as usual" with the United States in the wake of President Barack Obama's re-election.

"I've heard voices in recent days, of all places voices coming from among us, that are trying to create conflict between us and the United States. It won't help them; the alliance between Israel and United States is strong," said Netanyahu, quoted by The Jerusalem Post. 

Netanyahu was seemingly referring to remarks made by former prime minister Ehud Olmert, who issued sharp criticism toward Netanyahu on Wednesday for meddling in the U.S. presidential campaign.

"The prime minister has a right to prefer one candidate over another, but it would be better, obviously if he kept it to himself. What took place this time was a breaking of all the rules, when our prime minister intervened in the US elections in the name of an American billionaire," Olmert told Jewish leaders in New York, making a thinly veiled reference to Las Vegas casino magnate Sheldon Adelson.

The Washington Post reports:

President Obama’s re-election team was confident he would win another four years in the White House. But even his top campaign aides were surprised at how quickly the television networks called the race in the president’s favor on Tuesday.

Obama had arrived at the Fairmont Hotel, where his aides were staying on Tuesday night, but they did not expect him to be declared winner so soon. In fact, the president had not yet gathered with his aides; he was with his family in their suite on the 37th floor, with the staffers in another room, said one senior aide who spoke on condition of anonymity to describe private moments.

President Obama's prospects this year were supposed to be jeopardized by the specter of a steep dip in support among key components of his 2008 base, most notably voters younger than 30. But on Election Day, young voters again proved to be a huge part of the president's coalition.

Exit polls on Tuesday indicated that voters from 18 to 29 years old comprised 19 percent of the national electorate, a modest 1-point uptick since 2008 but one that defies the pre-election conventional wisdom that Obama would be left at the altar by young voters.

Read More →

Republicans pilloried President Obama throughout the campaign for being a purportedly weak ally to Israel, but Election Day research suggests that the strategy flopped with Jewish voters.

The exit poll, conducted by Democratic firm GBA Strategies on behalf of the liberal Jewish advocacy group J Street, shows that Obama once again won by a large margin among Jewish voters, and that the contentious debate over Iran's nuclear program was a virtual non-factor.

According to the survey, 70 percent of Jewish voters nationwide supported Obama on Tuesday — down just 4 points from his 2008 share. Romney picked up only 30 percent support. The poll also found a sharp aversion to the Republican nominee among Jewish voters: 64 percent have an unfavorable view of Romney.

As was the case with other constituencies, the economy ranked far-and-away as the top issue for Jews. Only 10 percent cited Israel as the most important issue, and a paltry 2 percent identified Iran as the top concern.

Jim Gerstein, a pollster for GBA Strategies, said the results signal that Obama has not lost credibility with with the reliably Democratic constituency — and that GOP saber-rattling on Israel's national security, policy areas that are trumped by other issues, failed to move the needle for Romney.

“The only problem Obama has with Jews is that there aren’t more of them," Gerstein told reporters during a conference call Wednesday. "A candidate must be seen as supportive enough of Israel and pass that credibility threshold, and then [Jewish voters] quickly move on to other issues.”

 

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