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Tom Kludt

Tom Kludt is a News Writer for Talking Points Memo based in New York City. A former research intern and polling fellow for TPM, Tom served as assistant polling editor for TPM Media's PollTracker during the 2012 campaign. Before joining TPM, he worked on political campaigns and wrote for various publications in Minnesota and his native South Dakota. Tom graduated summa cum laude from the University of South Dakota in May of 2010 with a B.A. in Political Science and History. He can be reached at tom@talkingpointsmemo.com.

Articles by Tom

Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama 49 percent to 47 percent in Thursday's edition of Republican-leaning Rasmussen's national tracking poll. It's the fourth consecutive day that Rasmussen has shown the GOP nominee up by such a margin.

The latest tracking poll was conducted Oct. 29-31 using automated interviews with 1,500 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows Obama leading by a little more than a point.

 

Reaching the 50 percent mark, President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely Nevada voters in a poll released Thursday.

The poll from SurveyUSA, conducted on behalf of the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow, shows Obama outpacing Romney in the Silver State 50 percent to 46 percent. It amounts to growth in support for Obama in a state where he has led consistently throughout the cycle. In mid-October, SurveyUSA showed Obama with a 3-point lead while falling two points shy of 50 percent.

The PollTracker Average reflects Obama's steady edge in Nevada, a state he carried by 12 points in 2008 and what has been one of his strongest battlegrounds in 2012. 

The final presidential race is tied nationally, according to a poll from Fox News released Wednesday night.

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each earn the support of 46 percent of likely voters nationwide, a slight change from the previous Fox poll that was conducted shortly after the first presidential debate on Oct. 3.  That poll showed Romney edging Obama by a point.

From Fox's analysis:

Independents give the edge to Romney by seven percentage points (46-39 percent).  That’s down from a 12-point advantage in early October.  

There’s a gender gap in vote preference, as men back Romney by 51-42 percent, while women side with Obama by 50-42 percent.  

The new Fox poll finds Obama under-performing compared to his 2008 exit poll numbers by 13 percentage points among independents, 9 points among white men, 6 points among women and 4 points among voters under age 30.  

Among the subgroup of most interested voters, those who are “extremely” interested in the election, Romney leads Obama by 53-42 percent.

The latest poll was conducted Oct. 28-30 using live phone interviews with 1,182 likely voters across the country. Fox noted that interviews with respondents in areas affected by Hurricane Sandy were conducted before Monday evening. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Obama claims a lead of a little more than a point in the PollTracker Average. 

After watching his double-digit leads in Wisconsin vanish following the first debate earlier this month, President Barack Obama has re-asserted himself as the favorite in the Badger State, a poll released Wednesday shows.

The latest Marquette University Law School Poll shows Obama crossing the 50 percent threshold to open up an 8-point lead over Mitt Romney in Wisconsin, 51 percent to 43 percent. It caps what has been a roller coaster month-and-a-half for the president in Marquette's polling.

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President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each pick up the support of 49 percent of likely voters nationally in Wednesday's release of the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll.

The Republican nominee led in the previous ABC/WaPo poll 49 percent to 48 percent.

Wednesday's survey was conducted during the tracking period of Oct. 27-30 using live phone interviews with 1,288 likely voters nationally. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average currently shows the president leading by a point.

 

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 5 points nationally, according to a poll released Wednesday afternoon.

The final United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll shows Obama earning the support of 50 percent of likely voters to Romney's 45 percent.  

Princeton Survey Research Associates International conducted the poll Oct. 25-28 using live phone interviews with 713 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

The PollTracker Average shows Obama inching ahead Romney by a point after the two were previously deadlocked. 

President Obama's leads in Florida and Virginia have evaporated, but he remains on solid footing in the all-important bellwether of Ohio, according to the latest round of polls from Quinnipiac University, CBS News and the New York Times released early Wednesday morning.

The polls reflect a late theme in this year's campaign: even as the race tightens or tilts in Mitt Romney's favor elsewhere, Ohio remains stubbornly in the president's column. Wednesday's poll of the Buckeye State shows Obama earning 50 percent support among likely voters there, while Romney trails with 45 percent — identical to the previous Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll of Ohio a little more than a week ago.

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A majority of Americans, 54 percent, believe President Barack Obama will secure re-election next week, according to a poll from Gallup released on Wednesday. 

The poll shows only 34 percent predict a victory for Republican nominee Mitt Romney. More than 50 percent also predicted an Obama victory in Gallup's polling in August and May.

Democrats are feeling more bullish about their candidate than Republicans. Eighty-six percent of Democrats believe Obama will be the winner on Tuesday, compared with 71 percent of Republicans who envision a Romney win.

But while a mere 8 percent of Democrats pick Romney as the likely winner, 19 percent of Republicans believe it will be Obama who emerges with more than 270 electoral votes.

Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by 5 points in North Carolina, according to a poll released Tuesday evening.

The automated poll from SurveyUSA, conducted on behalf of WRAL-TV in Raleigh, shows Romney reaching 50 percent and outpacing Obama, who trails with the support of 45 percent of likely Tar Heel State voters.

With a week to go until Election Day, Romney has asserted himself as the clear favorite in North Carolina. The PollTracker Average shows the separation he's gained there in the last month, as the state has moved to the "leans Romney" column on the TPM Electoral Scoreboard.

 

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