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Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

In turbulent and interesting times such as these, as Donald Trump rumbles on from outrage to outrage, we're all on the look out for people who take some courageous or moral stand. Is this or that Republican taking a stand against Trump and saying they can't support him? This is natural. Because we look for inspiration, validation or moral example. But what makes these stories compelling is precisely because they break with the fabric of political interest. We assume it's not the safe or self-interested thing to do. And in that way, focusing on the hold outs, few as they are, obscures the much more significant reality.

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You've seen the quote. It speaks for itself. But remember this. For Donald Trump, life is about domination. There are dominators and the dominated. Right now he's being dominated, beaten, humiliated. That may be fun to watch if you're a Democrat. It's not fun for him. That psychic injury will drive escalating reactions.

It may seem I'm getting a bit ahead of things by asking this question. This post is more a stab at thinking the question through than a definitive argument. But let's ask the question: If Trump goes down to defeat in November, is that the end of Trumpism? As I've thought more about this question over recent days, I think the answer is clearly 'no'.

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As part of our commitment to data journalism here at TPM, today we're introducing TPM’s Guide To GOPers Hopping Off The Trump Train. As things get bleaker for Trump, more and more Republicans are trying to distance themselves from what appears to be a building reputational disaster for the GOP and all associated with Trump. But all are not created equal. So we've created a three part taxonomy. "Ready for Hillary" for Republicans who've taken the ultimate plunge and announced they will vote for Hillary Clinton. "Holdouts" are those who have announced that they will not vote for Trump but either refuse to say who they will vote for or have announced that they will vote for someone other than Hillary Clinton. "Arch-Weasels" are those Republicans who have made increasingly harsh criticisms of Trump, sometimes questioning his fitness for office and even his sanity but still endorse him for President and say they plan to vote for them. Given this effort to fudge and weasel out of the most elemental question a politician faces, the "Arch-Weasel" designation should speak for itself. Click here to read the Guide and please send in suggestions for revisions, additions and so forth.

The TPM Electoral Scoreboard moves to Clinton 318, Trump 164, as North Carolina moves from the Trump column to Toss-up. Meanwhile, a new poll from NBC/SurveyMonkey pushes the PollTracker Avg to Clinton 49.6%, Trump 39.3%, a spread of 10.3 points, Clinton's highest margin of the election season.

Quote of the day: "We beat a lot of people in the primaries and now we have one person left. And we're actually doing pretty well there." - Donald Trump.

It caused a bit of a stir when Georgia went into the Toss-Up column in the TPM Electoral Scoreboard. Then it moved to Clinton. And now Hillary Clinton is up 6 points in Georgia in the PollTracker Average. The average is heavily driven by three polls from August which are Clinton +7, Clinton +4 and tie. What's worth remembering is that while Georgia has been a reliably red state for a generation, the margins haven't been in the blowout territory like other red states. McCain won the state by 5.2 points in 2008 and Romney won by 7.8 points in 2012. When one candidate is up by a substantial margin, as Clinton is at least for the moment, you're going to see that across the map. But still: up by 6 points in Georgia. What's up with that?

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For the first time since 1940, the Tulsa World declines to endorse the Republican nominee for President: "From Day One, the Trump campaign has brought out the worst of America, not the greatness that he promises."

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