Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

One thing I'm watching for tonight is how many speakers call for Hillary Clinton to be imprisoned or lead crowd chants to that effect.

We were watching this earlier during the roll call. Alaska reported its delegates split between the various candidates. And the chair basically replied, 'Cool, all delegates for Trump.' We were talking about it in the office and couldn't quite figure what was up. I figured it was just something I'd missed since no one seemed to be making a big deal of it. It seems like this was what was up.

Over the weekend, I outlined my heuristic of Trumpian action which my high school classmate John Scalzi has now dubbed 'Trump's Razor' in honor of 'Occam's Razor', the foundational mode of reasoning devised by the 14th century scholastic theologian William of Occam. According to Trump's Razor: "ascertain the stupidest possible scenario that can be reconciled with the available facts" and that answer is likely correct. Last night ran very late at TPM thanks to the Melania/plagiarism debacle. As I was walking to my apartment well past midnight I started considering the implications of Trump's Razor and I shuddered and recoiled at what it told me. To phrase the principle in Occam's terms, it tells us 'the stupidest scenario is always to be preferred'. And what was the stupidest possible scenario? Right: Melania wrote the speech herself.

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On MSNBC last night a bunch of really smart guys were saying how Trump would and must be outraged at how a staffer/speech writer on his campaign let his wife down, embarrassed her on a global stage. That person would immediately be fired. I thought to myself at the time: what campaign have they been watching? There's nothing we have seen about this enterprise that makes that outcome remotely likely. Far more likely: deny, deny, deny and attack, attack, attack.

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A significant chunk of Melania Trump's speech was lifted from Michelle Obama's convention speech in 2008. Check it out.

Anthony Sabato, the soap star who was one of the evening's major speakers, later told ABC news that President Obama is a Muslim who was raised in the Middle East. Watch.

Ever since the late and great Molly Ivins quipped that she thought Pat Buchanan's speech at the 1992 GOP convention sounded better in the original German it's been sort of a parlor trick to compare a 'hot' Republican speech to one from this or that fascist dictator. But this speech was really febrile and unhinged. Setting aside the content, consider the wild hand gestures, frequent screaming, the agitated and febrile manner. It was disturbing but also brought together all the themes of violence, death, betrayal and rage that shaped the evening.

It's like Giuliani has spent the last fifteen years living together with 9/11 in a two bedroom apartment of his mind. It's a dark picture. He's lost his balance and maybe his mind.