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Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

Representative Tom Davis (R) of Virginia has been hovering around the edges of the Conscience Caucus for some time. We <$NoAd$>may even reevaluate his status. He hasn't so much expressed reservations on policy grounds. But he's close to a go-to-guy for the press when they want a quote from a Republican saying that privatization could be a disaster for the GOP.

Back on the 19th he told the LA Times: "The situation is fluid, but it has the potential to blow up. I'm going to keep my mouth shut." For which you can at least give him credit for a level of candor.

Here's a bit of an article that appeared yesterday in a local paper ...

"As a practical matter, 2018 is a tipping point," [Davis] said. "You don't want to be there because you'll be cutting education and defense. Every year you wait, it becomes a little tougher." Davis said he is not sure about private accounts, though he said they do not help the program's solvency.

Ideally, he would like to avoid raising taxes to pay for social security and would also like to avoid cutting future benefits as well.

"I've got a healthy dose of skepticism," he said. "But I applaud the president for identifying the problems with the program."


Sounds like he's kind of on the fence.

We note that Davis is having townhall meetings tomorrow around the district -- in Falls Church, Fairfax and Prince William.

And these folks are holding a rally to greet him in Fairfax and ask him to stand up against phasing out Social Security.

There's been some well-earned press about Deputy Social Security Commissioner James Lockhart's recent work barnstorming the country on behalf of private accounts. But let's not forget: He's also one of the seven signatories of Social Security's annual Trustees report. He serves as the Board of Trustees' Secretary; or at least he did for the past three years.

They've got an angle?

The promo for the League of the South's new Grey Book: Blueprint for an Independent South says the book explains "How an independent South would handle the Social Security debacle."

Everybody wants to get into the act.

Remember those postings on Craig's List, purporting to be from the Social Security Administration and seeking participants for focus groups on Social Security privatization?

It seems like a case of fraud and of a rather serious sort.

This morning we received an email from a reader who had responded to the posting and got back an email explaining how to participate and giving him a form to fill out. On its face, the response and the form looked like about what you'd expect: some boilerplate about what the focus groups would be like and a form asking for various personal and demographic information about the potential participant.

The email was 'signed' by someone claiming to be from the Social Security administration.

Based on this I called the SSA press office early this afternoon. And an hour or so later I received a call back from Mark Lassiter, the press officer. Lassiter told me in no uncertain terms that these focus group postings and emails are "not being done by SSA or anyone working on SSA's behalf."

He went on to say that there are two main issues of concern to them. First, someone appears to be impersonating SSA personnel, which is a crime. Second, the fact that these follow-up emails are being sent out suggests that this is more than just an attempt to spoof SSA but possibly some sort of identity theft scam (the form requests name, birthdate, social security number, etc.)

Lassiter tells TPM that his office has requested that the SSA Inspector General investigate the matter.

What's wrong with this picture?

Social Security has seven 'Trustees'.

Five of the Trustees serve ex-officio, i.e., they're automatically a Trustee because of their office -- like the Treasury Secretary, Labor Secretary, etc.

One of the two who were appointed directly is Thomas R. Saving. If you look here you'll see that he was a Trustee in 2004 and I've just confirmed with the SSA that he remains a Trustee for 2005.

Yet, according to this morning's Houston Chronicle, he has just signed on to be an advisor and spokesman for one of the lead pro-Social Security phase-out astroturf groups, Progress for America.

Are his duties as a Trustee compatible with going to work for Progress for America?

John Harwood's squib on Social Security from today's WSJ Washington Wire (sub. required) ...

PRESSURE RISES on Social Security.

A senior Bush adviser sees "ice breaking" around opposition of some Democrats to the administration plan. Fellow Democrats, chafing at Lieberman's flirtation with Bush, circulate his criticism of "risky private accounts" in the run-up to his 2004 presidential run.

Despite White House courting, Democratic Sen. Nelson of Nebraska is unlikely to embrace Bush's private-account plan, an associate predicts. House Democratic campaign committee seeks donations to fuel "caught-on-tape" drive to weaken Republican members by publicizing alleged flip-flops on the issue.

Plan B? Republicans insist Bush could "win" without legislation by hitting "anti-reform" Democrats.


On point one, I've watched this crew long enough to know the MO. So I don't think there's any <$Ad$>reason to believe this 'senior Bush adviser' is doing anything but talking out of an orifice other than his mouth. Their whole angle is say they're holding more cards than they are to push their opponents off balance.

But why not be careful? As we've said, I think two members of the Graham senate book club are looking to make a deal. And I think their angle is to fiddle with the payroll tax as a way to let their faint little hearts get to that Holy Grail of Faintheartedness, the prized private accounts. That's what they want to do and I think that's what they're trying to do.

I talk to various of Sen. Lieberman's political friends and we wonder between ourselves: What is it exactly? Is he just a man out of time now? Too stung by how the 2004 primaries went and just doesn't care what Dems think? Or maybe he thinks he's legislating for history here. A lot of folks who are generally in line with Lieberman, and like him, ended up not supporting him in the primaries because they worried not about his political views but about his political judgment. So the irony here is that he's displaying the same political tin ear and questionable judgment that kept many like-minded Dems from supporting him. And their very lack of support stung him so badly that it has accentuated those tendencies that kept them off the Joe team to begin with.

And remember, I'm not talking about John Sweeney or Andy Stern here. I'm talking about card-carrying New Dems.

Just this morning I was talking with some political players involved in the Social Security fight and they were wondering how quickly a few hundred thousand dollars of seed money could be raised to fund a decent primary opponent to run against Lieberman next year. And I have to say, I think they could raise it pretty quickly.

After half a decade without any senators to represent me, I'm happy to have two I can call my own again. And luckily, Schumer and Clinton are strong supporters of Social Security. But if I lived in Connecticut and my own senator ended up deep-sixing Social Security all by himself, I'd certainly support someone who challenged him. Actually, I'd happily see him replaced by a Republican if that's what it came to.

Millions rely on Social Security, a right earned through a lifetime of work. It's a compact between citizens and between generations. And like all truly good legislation it makes for good policy and good politics. One senator from Connecticut is a small thing when weighed in that balance.

He's the deal-maker. All the signs are showing it.

Sen. Lieberman's popular in Connecticut. But there must be some folks in Connecticut who support Social Security too.

Lieberman promoted to Dean of Senate Faction!

Tells reporters America needs more faint hearts so we can all be friends!

(Okay, he didn't say that. But he has been promoted to Senate Dean.)

More to follow ...

Rep. Aderholt (R) of Alabama a possible Caucus man?

Some interesting comments from the article: Aderholt "has yet to see much mail from constituents about it. He figures they're waiting to see the details. Most of the comments so far are coming from activist groups on both sides of the issue, he noted."

"There's not a lot of details of the president's plan out there. We certainly want to hear from our constituents. I've not committed to the president or the leadership what I would do." Later he says Social Security is meant to be a safety net. "If we take that away, it's defeating the purpose of Social Security. So many Americans today depend on Social Security as a major part of their income."

Here's the comments Aderholt made after coming back from a visit to the White House to hear the president's pitch on Social Security on February 9th.

If Aderholt does eventually join the Conscience Caucus, he'd join fellow Alabama Rep. Mike Rogers (R), who came in back on the 6th of February.

I'm curious whether Aderholt has really gotten as little feedback on phase-out as he claims. It's quite unpopular in the state. Even Sen. Richard Shelby (R) has made a series of skeptical statements about the president's plan.

Of the state's other House Republicans, Rep. Spencer Bachus seems most, as the Tuscaloosa News puts it, "in lockstep" with the Bush plan. A constituent letter we've seen marks Rep. Terry Everett as basically a phase-out man. And Rep. Jo Bonner (R) remains on the fence.

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