Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

As we reinforce the TPM space capsule for first contact with the afternoon Mexico City to Phoenix Trump shit show, there will be precious little time for me to harangue you about signing up for Prime. We're six weeks into our 2016 annual sign up drive. We're at 1175 signups for August. We'd really like to finish the month with 1200. You can help us get there and reap the glory of being number 2012. More, seriously, it matters. If you need TPM, we need you. We really do. Can you take a moment right now - not this afternoon or tonight but right now - to sign up for Prime? You'll be really glad you did. I promise.

Last night I wrote up my initial thoughts on Trump's hastily planned trip to Mexico City. With the arrival of a new day, I would say I pretty much stick with all the points I made last night: Trump is embarking on an event over which he will exercise little if any control and cede almost all control to someone whose every interest and desire is to damage him. That violates every rule in the political book. It's such a self-destructive move that it is extremely tempting to posit some unknown factor, wisdom, knowledge ... anything that makes it not seem as stupid as it looks. But Trump's Razor counsels against this.

All that said, the morning brings some new factual developments worth taking note of.

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We have news tonight that tomorrow, in advance of his big immigration speech in Arizona, Donald Trump will travel to Mexico City to meet with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto. This is such an outlandish idea it is not easy to make sense of it or predict its outcome. But a few key points are worth bearing in mind.

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These remarks have gotten very little attention. But they're quite remarkable. In his interview with NBC News, Dr. Harold Bornstein, Donald Trump's freakshow doctor, pretty clearly implies that he's had improper access to Hillary Clinton's medical records and says her health history is "really not so good."

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We've discussed in several different contexts whether Trumpism will survive Trump. By and large, I think it will. But it's a more complicated question what exactly Trumpism will be without Trump. But here's some interesting data for the question.

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Democrats do not have a strong candidate against Marco Rubio this Fall. But Marco Rubio isn't a strong candidate either. After all he spent most of last year explaining that he didn't like being a senator. Today he hedged on whether he'd even stay in the Senate for a full six years if he's elected. So he's mainly running against to queue up a 2020 run, I guess there's some wisdom in not making an unequivocal promise. But it's stuff like this that makes me think the Dems are still in the hunt in Florida.

Rush issues fatwah absolving Trump of deportation flip flop.

A couple months ago while I was waiting to do a TV appearance I met a guy named Laith Alkhouri. Laith specializes in studying the so-called "deep web", where terrorist groups communicate, recruit, plan, discuss and more. Our initial conversation touched on the fact that ISIS fighters and recruiters were actually giddy about the prospect of a Trump presidency, believing he would wreck the US in various ways through generalized incompetence but also be drawn into another ground war in the Syria and northern Iraq where ISIS now rules - something which may sound like something that would terrify ISIS but is actually their fondest wish. In any case, in the course of the conversation, I got more interested in the "dark web" itself.

We've all heard and known for years that terrorist groups use the internet to communicate, chat, propagandize and recruit. We hear about this on the news all the time. All the domestic terrorists in the US found recruiters and propaganda online. But where exactly does this happen? Like if I decided that I wanted to learn more about being a jihadist and maybe trade in TPM to go kill people in Syria, where would I go online exactly to find out more? And where is it on the web that these folks go when they want to communicate at least semi-secretly? I realized that while I'd known for years that jihadism lives on the Internet, I didn't know anything about how it worked, where they congregate, how they recruit or maintain operational secrecy. But Laith lives in the "dark web." That's his job. So I asked him to write our latest story for The Arch, which we're publishing today. Check it out, a totally fascinating story.

We're getting the first advance word about what's going to be included in Trump's big immigration policy speech on Wednesday. And it sounds like he's going Full Jeb!, or at a minimum Total Marco.

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Emerson came out with a series of polls today in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan - with Senate polls in addition to presidential polls in the first two states. All of the results show numbers substantially more friendly to Republicans, either the given Senate candidates or to Trump. Now, that could conceivably be the leading edge of a trend or simply an outlier. It's always important not to start hyper-examining the details of poll that either surprises you or has results you don't like. It's very easy to end up fooling yourself. But here there's a specific reason of caution.

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