Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

I wanted to share a couple thoughts on Paul Ryan's statement that he's happy to step down as convention chair if that's what Donald Trump wants. First, it's important to recognize that the nominee owns the convention. It's his show. If Trump wanted someone else to chair the convention, Ryan would really have little choice but to step aside. But that's really not the point.

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Donald Trump is out with a new statement this morning, attacking The New York Times for distorting what he said about reducing the federal debt by deal-making with bond holders to reduce the amount the US government has to pay out to them. In truth, it's more than just the Times, though Trump seems to have decided they were the best target for his broadside. You can read the statement here.

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So many stories in presidential politics, in all politics, are more sound and fury than substance. This one isn't. It's hard to overstate how big a deal it is. Donald Trump caught a lot of grief during the primaries for putting several of his companies through bankruptcies during his career. He's also made a point of arguing that he'd bring his brand of "deal-making" to the presidency. It now seems like both of those things may have been way more significant than maybe anyone realized.

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Several times over the years I've told the story of the first big political prediction I got right - less than a year into my first job in journalism. It was the fall of 1998, in the build up to President Clinton's impeachment, and I was telling my officemates that I thought Democrats would pick up seats in the November election. I tried to write about it but my editor wouldn't let me. (He said I would embarrass the publication.) This was contrary to what virtually everyone else predicted. So what special insight did I have? Really, none. I watched the public polling and paid attention to what those polls were saying. Contrary to the widespread predictions of a GOP wave, they suggested a modest Democratic gain, which is precisely what happened. Everyone else saw the same polls. But almost everyone else had come up with explanations for why they couldn't be right.

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Our Official TPM Elected Official Trump Endorsement Scorecard continues to grow. See our five categories here. Check out the list and tell us if there are people we've left out. Remember we are only including sitting members of Congress and governors. At the moment we have only three in the "Endorse" category, though we know there are some members of the House that are still be added. Meanwhile, there are only three who are in the genuine "NeverTrump" category. The great majority are in the "support the nominee" or "fuzzball" category. Check it out and let us know who we're missing. Our panel of Trump taxonomy judges continues to evaluate where everyone stands.