Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

8:12 PM: Props to CNN execs for giving Jake Tapper those injections of Epinephrine.

8:13 PM: Rubio water joke about as well handled as original water goof.

8:15 PM: First presidential debate use of word "braggadocious" in US history. Drink.

8:16 PM: Watching Carson's intro gives me a better sense of why he's surging as a sort of anti-Trump. The guy is so gentle in his speech and manner I almost wonder sometimes whether he's going to just fade away. He's everything that Trump isn't.

8:20 PM: Not to get policy-ish but Trump's hair looks a bit off?

8:21 PM: This is not disappointing me.

8:23 PM: Walker's zinger!!! oh, no. Learn timing, dude. Ouch.

8:25 PM: I think Walker's word fugue there may be like agonal debating?

8:26 PM: I think Walker just said it's about time the American people realize he's awesome?

8:27 PM: On the plus side, 30 minutes in and now Hugh Hewitt?

The Trump phenomenon seems to encourage minor ritual humiliations like this gauntlet walking for a group portrait.

Live coverage of the main event starts at 8 pm.

We generally don't think of Republicans as the folks to go in for alternative lifestyles or outre sexual practices (at least not openly). But here we are, mere hours away from round two of the televised ritual humiliation of what were until a few months ago the top contenders for the Republican nomination - and at the hands of a former reality TV star with an exalted hairdo, who sometimes goes by his first name only. What's surprising is how similar the mood going into tonight's debate seems to be to the one going into the first debate on Fox back last month.

The setting seems to be this: Donald Trump is at the head of the pack. That's unnatural. He doesn't deserve to be and should not be. Someone has to destroy him. Last time Fox News took it upon itself to be the executioner and I think we can all agree that it failed spectacularly, though it took a few days for many commentators to realize that was what happened.

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Over the years, both as an observer of politics and as a publisher, I've seen numerous cases where a big advocacy campaign comes together which clearly lacks the ability to spend all the money it's raised. You'll see adds run in California against a politician from New York. Or you'll see TV spots running in time slots or on shows that are totally unrelated to the target demographic. Most campaigns - whether they're advocacy, election campaigns or branding - are never lucky enough to have this problem. But the amount of messaging or advertising you can do or buy on any given topic is finite. You can so saturate a given market or audience that you not only move past a point of diminishing returns but actually run out of things to buy. That was clearly the case in what has turned out to be the colossal failure of the many tens of million dollar campaign to stop the Iran nuclear deal.

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With our new Insight polls we're looking at policy beliefs, attitudes, election support, and other issues for center-left and liberal opinion leaders, as they're called. But we've also been looking at attitudes toward the big corporations that dominate different aspects of public life in the U.S. One example is attitudes toward the big tech giants. We recently looked at three tech behemoths (Microsoft, Facebook and Google) with the question of whether you think the given company's best days are ahead of it or behind it - a general question that gets at attitude perceptions about the future, trust, relevance, and so forth. The results were eye-popping.

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We're hiring a Reporter to work out of our Washington, DC office. Job description and listing after the jump ...

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Donald Trump has so shattered the structure of the 2016 GOP presidential primary race that it can be difficult to make any solid argument about just who has been hurt the most. But not that difficult. It's very, very hard to argue that it's not Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. His campaign is straight up gutted and at this point I have serious doubts that he'll even make it to the first contest in Iowa, let alone win it, which was critical to his strategy.

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As I've mentioned a few times, we've gotten into the survey business, both of the public at large but especially of our own audience, which is a good proxy for center-left and liberal news junkies around the country and also primary voters. We've been doing various polling tied to the 2016 presidential race and after the jump I have some numbers that gave me a different take on how to look at the Democratic primary race.

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