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Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

Articles by Josh

Years from now, whoever we decide was right or wrong in the context of US politics and foreign policy, I imagine we will see the current history of the Middle East as a story unfolding from the 9/11 attacks to the US invasion of Iraq to the Arab Spring and then moving on to the current many-headed conflagration in Syria, Iraq, Libya and now Yemen.

Of course, history didn't begin in 2001. The 9/11 attacks were umbilically connected to the Gulf War and the Afghan insurgency. And we can go back before that to the creation of the modern Arab state system, the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and more. But history has decisive turning points when contingent events shove building trends in dramatic directions. And I have little doubt that the disputed election of George W. Bush in December 2000, the cataclysmic 9/11 attacks a year later and the invasion of Iraq eighteen months after that, were just such a contingent and conjoined group of events.

But there's one element of the story which many see as a negative but which I think is actually a positive development.

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We're hosting a Live Chat with Natan Sachs in The Hive (sub req). Sachs is a fellow at the Brookings Institution's Center for Middle East Policy and he'll be discussing the recent Israeli elections, US-Israel relations and future of the two state solution. I'll be there. Get your questions in now.

In all the other Ted Cruz nonsense over recent days, I'm not sure how many people saw this piece by Josh Rogin, now at Bloomberg, on Cruz's foreign policy agenda. The article is based on extensive interview from last year. The part that stuck out to me is Cruz's list of three foreign policy experts he most trusts. It's quite a list.

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I've been mainly away this week. So I only got a chance to catch up with the site this evening. And I have to say our headline on this story about Tucker Carlson's brother's email about de Blasio's spokeswoman seriously understates what's in the piece. I have zero sensitivity to vulgar speech. But I'd say this fellow may have some unworked through hostility toward women. Buckley Carlson appears to suffer from a pervasive fear of emasculation common among certain early 21st century bros. In my recent Annals of Psychiatry journal article I termed this condition "ejaculatory rage." Read the story here.

"To understand Cruz’s role in 2016, one must recognize that the Tea Party in Washington today is a not an insurgency from below. It is a realignment within the Republican establishment that has committed the party to a position of extreme non-compromise." The rest here.

There are few people I do not take seriously in politics. Or to put it more specifically, there are few people I fully discount in the context of national elections. Ted Cruz is one of those people. By contrast, I think it is highly unlikely that Rand Paul can make it in the GOP primaries, let alone a national election. There are so many intra-party disputes, so many iffy stories lurking in the background for him and his father and a lot more. But there are enough unexpected and cross cutting aspects to Paul that I can't be sure. Always important, many people who don't agree with anything Paul says find him somehow appealing. Cruz is entirely different. It is hard to think of someone who has been accorded such press attention as a presidential contender while being so certain to go down to defeat. It is extremely unlikely that Cruz could ever win the GOP nomination. And as certain as one can ever be in this fallen world that he cannot win a national election.

This is for three reasons.

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