Pennsylvania Senate Polls Tighten, With Democratic Challenger Ahead

Jack Hanrahan

Democratic challenger Katie McGinty comes out three points ahead of incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) in a Siena College/New York Times Upshot poll of Pennsylvania, indicating a tight U.S. Senate race in the Keystone State.

The race is currently a tossup on TPM's Senate Scoreboard as polls intermittently show either candidate ahead.

McGinty, a former member of the Bill Clinton administration, leads the poll by thee points, 47-44, among likely Pennsylvania voters.

Siena/NYT Upshot has not recently polled on the Senate race in Pennsylvania, but a recent Quinnipiac poll showed the incumbent senator ahead by four points, 49-45.

The Siena College/NYT Upshot poll was conducted via live telephone interview on Oct. 23-25 among 824 likely Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.

TPM's PollTracker Average for the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania shows a tossup, with Toomey leading McGinty, 46.8 to 46.

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