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The Republicans are planning to fight furiously to try and recapture control of the House of Representatives in 2010, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who helped orchestrate the Republican revolution 15 years ago, thinks it's possible for a repeat.

"I think you could easily have a bigger backlash in 2010 than we had in 1994," Gingrich (R-GA) told Newsmax TV recently.

Looking at generic polls of party preference, Republicans like what they see, and most Democrats acknowledge they will lose seats next fall.

But a Republican House takeover? Pretty unlikely it seems, as TPMDC explored the question by talking to political consultants and campaign hands to see what conditions existed in 1994 and whether they exist now.

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On his radio show today, Rush Limbaugh said that none other than Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) told him that the Republicans are offering amendments to the health care bill, not to improve the bill, but as a parliamentary maneuver to "flush out" Democratic centrists Ben Nelson and Jim Webb, and to try to peel them away and thus stop the bill:

"Plus there are the Republicans using procedures, parliamentary procedures, and offering all these amendments. Now the purpose -- I talked to Sen. McConnell about the purpose of the amendments. He said we're trying to flush out with these amendments, just who it is that really we have to focus on here. And the two names that he mentioned were Ben Nelson and Jim Webb in Virginia. Because there's something that Webb is not going along with the Democrats on, I forget specifically what it is. My point in mentioning all this is, that the Republicans in the Senate are using parliamentary procedures, they are offering all these amendments, not to make the bill better, but to flush out and to find out who it is that they really need to work with to stop this. That is their objective, to stop it.


When contacted by TPM, McConnell's office could not immediately comment.


Thursday, December 10, 2009: President Obama delivers his acceptance speech for the Nobel Peace Prize. He expressed his humility, acknowledging the "giants of history" who have received award. And he was also frank about the realities of the current military engagements of the U.S.:



"But perhaps the most profound issue surrounding my receipt of this prize is the fact that I am the commander-in-chief of the military of a nation in the midst of two wars."

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




The newest recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize eyes his award at the Norwegian Nobel Institute.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




First Lady Michelle Obama looks at pictures of past Nobel winners.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




President Obama sits down for a bilateral meeting with Norwegian Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




At the Slottet Royal Palace, President Obama signs the guest book as the First Lady looks on.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza






Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




President Obama receives the Nobel Prize and diploma during the ceremony at Oslo City Hall.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza






Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




The audience looks on.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza






Official White House Photo by Pete Souza




President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama leave Oslo City Hall following the Nobel ceremony.

Official White House Photo by Pete Souza

Here are the line-ups for the Sunday talk shows this weekend:

• ABC, This Week: National Economic Council Director Lawrence Summers, House Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA).

• CBS, Face The Nation: Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE), Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV).

• CNN, State Of The Union: National Economic Council Director Lawrence Summers.

• Fox News Sunday: Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH), Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK), Rep. Ed Markey (D-MA).

• NBC, Meet The Press: Council of Economic Advisers Chair Christina Romer, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D-MI), former Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA), CNBC host Jim Cramer.

President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama issued a statement about Hanukkah, which begins today.

Michelle and I send our warmest wishes to all who are celebrating Hanukkah around the world. The Hanukkah story of the Maccabees and the miracles they witnessed reminds us that faith and perseverance are powerful forces that can sustain us in difficult times and help us overcome even the greatest odds.

Hanukkah is not only a time to celebrate the faith and customs of the Jewish people, but for people of all faiths to celebrate the common aspirations we share. As families, friends and neighbors gather together to kindle the lights, may Hanukkah's lessons inspire us all to give thanks for the blessings we enjoy, to find light in times of darkness, and to work together for a brighter, more hopeful tomorrow.

The also posted a Hebrew translation at WhiteHouse.gov.

For a while now, there's been plenty of evidence of Sheriff Joe Arpaio abusing his law enforcement powers to target political enemies. Indeed, Justice Department investigators are said to have been looking into the issue for the last year.

But Arpaio may now have taken things into a whole new realm. This week, the top cop for Maricopa County, Arizona, who has used media-friendly stunts to gain a national reputation as a law-and-order zealot and bete noir of illegal immigrants, announced the filing of a criminal complaint against his latest target: a judge who's involved in several of the controversial cases Sheriff Joe has helped bring.

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Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has high praise for President Obama's Nobel Peace Prize speech, in which he detailed his personal philosophies on war and peace.

"I liked what he said. In fact, I thumbed through my book quickly this morning to say, 'Wow, that really sounded familiar,'" she said in an interview with USA Today.

"I talked in my book too about the fallen nature of man and why war is necessary at times, and history's lessons when it comes to knowing when it is that we engage in warfare. And a couple of the other things he said were, I thought, wow, good, those are nice, a broad message, so broad that I just wrote about those. A lot of Americans right now are getting to read also my take on when war is necessary," she continued.

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In an interview with 60 Minutes, set to air this Sunday, President Obama explains why he is setting a timetable for withdrawal in Afghanistan: That he will not make Afghanistan a "protectorate" of the United States -- and he says that there are Afghans who would like to see this happen, with the United States taking up their defense expenses.

"The answer is that in the absence of a deadline, the message we are sending to the Afghans is, it's business as usual, this is an open-ended commitment," said Obama. "And very frankly, I think there are elements in Afghanistan who would be perfectly satisfied to make Afghanistan a permanent protectorate of the United States -- in which they carry no burden, in which we are paying for a military in Afghanistan that preserves their security and their prerogatives. That's not what the American people signed off for when they went to Afghanistan in 2001. They signed up to go after al-Qaeda."


Democrats better hope for a good CBO report on a public option compromise, and agreement among party members, to take shape quickly. Because if everything doesn't fall into place almost precisely as planned, they'll blow right through Christmas without passing a health care bill.

Here's what Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-IL) said yesterday: "The scenario could be...if we reach the point where we want to move forward with the manager's package, there will be three cloture votes before final package: Manager's, substitute, and the original bill."

That's a lot of Senate jargon, but here's what it means. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will offer one last big change to the bill as soon as the CBO weighs in on a public option alternative. That "manager's amendment" will be subject to a cloture vote, in order to be added to the health care package being debated on the Senate floor.

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Before the Senate can vote on health care legislation, Democratic leaders have to make sure they have 60 votes lined up to end the filibuster, and that means dealing with the concerns of a number of swing voters, including Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE). The vehicle for addressing those concerns will be a manager's amendment, which will include the final version of a public option compromise that's taken shape in the last several days.

But will it also include abortion? Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-IL) suggests very strongly that it will.

After a press conference yesterday afternoon, another reporter asked Durbin how wide the scope of that managers amendment would be: "[I]s the scope of that just going to be to deal with the public option...or is it going to be broader than that--is it going to include abortion language?"

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