TPM News

A new poll of likely Washington GOP caucus-goers shows former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) with a lead outside the margin of error in the state ahead of the Saturday, March 3rd contest. Public Policy Polling (D) numbers show Santorum with 38 percent, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 27, Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) with 15 and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 12. 

The question is about mometum. Many of the voters they polled a soft in their support, and with the Michigan and Arizona primaries set to take place five days beforehand (Tuesday, Feburary 28th), alligences could shift quickly. From PPP:

The groups fueling Santorum's lead in Washington are the same ones he's doing well with everywhere: he's up 50-20 with Tea Partiers, 50-18 with Evangelicals, and 50-19 with voters describing themselves as 'very conservative.' His state by state formula for success definitely seems to include leading with each of those groups by at least 25 points.

Santorum's the favorite in Washington for now but if we've learned one thing in this race it's that if you don't like the polls just wait a few days and they might change. A Romney comeback is well within the realm of possibility.

(Emphasis ours.)


Stephen Colbert is back! "Hi, how ya been?" Colbert asked the Colbert Report audience Monday after his brief hiatus. Colbert addressed his recent absence from the "national conversation" and depriving his viewers a look at his face.

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CNBC host Larry Kudlow reports at National Review that Mitt Romney is set to release a brand new tax plan sometime this week. 


I’m embargoed from releasing details until tomorrow. But I can say that the new plan will be across-the-board with supply-side incentives from rate reduction, and that it will help small-business owners as well as everyone else.

Romney's existing tax plan became the subject of much scorn among Democrats after it was discovered it would lower the taxes for the wealthy while raising them on people who make less than $40,000.

Closing arguments are scheduled today in the trial of white supremacist twin brothers accused of sending a mail bomb in 2004 to a city diversity office in Scottsdale, Ariz., the Associated Press reports.

Brothers Dennis and Daniel Mahon, who have longtime ties to groups like the Ku Klux Klan and White Aryan Resistance, pleaded not guilty in the bombing plot.

The trial is the result of a deep undercover investigation run by agents in the Arizona office of the US Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.

Sen. Dick Lugar (R-IN) is facing the latest round of questions over an issue in his re-election race: He lives mainly in northern Virginia, and has not owned a home in Indiana itself since 1977, when he sold his old family home the year after he was first elected to the Senate.

And in the latest twist, he is facing questions not just about his lack of a home in the state — but which address is on his state driver's license. The ABC affiliate in Indianapolis reports, from a Lugar appearance in the city on Monday:

Lugar also owns a farmhouse where his son lives, but he said he will not take that as his official residence because it wouldn't be accurate.

Lugar said he isn't sure what address is on his Indiana driver's license but presumes it was from the house he no longer owns.

Even in the midst of Newt Gingrich's campaign steep fall since his decisive victory in the South Carolina primary last month, the former House Speaker has taken solace in his seemingly strong standing in states like Georgia, a state he served in public office for twenty years.  But a new InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research poll of the Peach State shows that Gingrich's southern strategy is also suffering.

The statewide survey of likely Georgia primary voters shows Gingrich clinging to a small lead in his home state with 25.9 percent support, while Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum poll at 23.9 percent and 22.8 percent respectively.  Ron Paul comes in fourth with 11.7 percent.  

The timing of the poll couldn't be worse for Gingrich, who on Sunday said that a loss in one's home state reflects "a very, very badly weakened candidacy."  Georgia is one of 11 states holding its primaries or caucuses on March 6 (widely known as "Super Tuesday"), a day that Gingrich hopes will resuscitate his flagging campaign. 


Here are ten things you need to know today.

  • Romney and Santorum neck-and-neck in Arizona: A new survey from Public Policy Polling shows Mitt Romney with a razor-thin lead over Rick Santorum in Arizona 36% to 33%. The state's primary is a week away.
  • Romney raised $6.4 million in January: Mitt Romney raised $6.4 million in January and has $7.7 million cash on hand, his campaign reports. Overall, Romney's campaign has raised almost $64 million. It's more than the other GOP nominees, but about half what Romney raised in December 2011.
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