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Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid faces a number of obstacles to passing health care reform but his main task is to keep his caucus united for not one, but two, supermajority votes, just to get the reform bill an up or down on the Senate floor. Failure to get 60 votes to push past either of those two procedural chokepoints could derail the reform bill. Here are the six key holdouts Reid must wrangle to reach the magic threshold.

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Asked about the Fort Hood shooting that killed 13 people last week, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said in the daily press briefing moments ago that, "the president has been very clear with everyone that no stone should be left unturned to figure out how and why this happened and to ensure that it never happens again."

As for whether it was an act of terrorism, Gibbs said "the FBI's the best place to address that. I do not know that they have a lot more on motive, but they'll have updates this afternoon."

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Rep. Joseph Cao (R-LA) may have an interesting built-in line of defense against Republicans who would want to seek retribution over his vote for the health care bill: His overwhelmingly Democratic district.

I asked Club For Growth executive director David Keating, whose group has often supported insurgent conservatives -- Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Stephen Laffey and Doug Hoffman, just to name a few -- whether the group might support a primary against Cao. "Our PAC doesn't plan on backing any primary challengers to him," said Keating, "because it would be a waste of money, probably, for the general election."

Cao's district, centered around New Orleans, voted 75%-23% for Barack Obama in November 2008, by far the most Democratic district to be currently represented by a Republican. Cao won a shocking 50%-47% victory in a specially scheduled December election (due to hurricane damage) against Democratic Rep. William Jefferson, who was then under indictment and was later convicted on corruption charges.

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The Republican primary field is getting more crowded in the New Hampshire Senate race, with long-time conservative activist Ovide Lamontagne officially entering the race.

Lamontagne was chairman of the state Board of Education from 1993-1996, and was the Republican nominee for governor in 1996, losing in an open-seat race to Democrat Jeanne Shaheen (now a Senator) by a 57%-40% margin.

Former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte is widely viewed as being the establishment favorite, but in fact it should be a busy primary. In addition to Lamontagne, other candidates include businessmen James Bender and William Binnie, who could both potentially self-finance. Lamontagne has less money coming into the race, but his long-time presence in state politics could make up for it.

Interestingly, Lamontagne explained to the Union-Leader why he won't be self-financing: "The lady of the house won't let it happen. She said that if the market is not there for me to raise the dollars, I ought to reconsider."

National Security Council spokesman Mike Hammer released a statement today on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall.

On November 9, 1989, Germans from both sides of the Berlin Wall joined together to breach the barrier that divided them and began the process of reuniting their country. The year 1989 was pivotal in the 20th century and in world history. Poland held a historic parliamentary election that ended communist rule. Hungary boldly cut the barbed wire fence separating it from Austria, drawing back the Iron Curtain. And, with the Velvet Revolution in then-Czechoslovakia, Central and Eastern Europe chose freedom over oppression, liberty over captivity, and hope over despair.

On the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the Fall of the Berlin Wall, on November 9, 2009, General James L. Jones, USMC (Ret), National Security Advisor to the President will host the members of the diplomatic corps representing all of Europe and the former Soviet Union at a lunch to join together and observe and celebrate this historic day and the events that followed. At the lunch, participants will also view the ceremonies in Berlin to which Secretary Clinton will lead a Presidential Delegation.

In this context, General Jones said, "an enduring legacy of 1989 is the vibrant partnership that we share with Europe - a partnership in which we are standing together to meet the challenges of the 21st century. I am pleased to celebrate this partnership with my European colleagues on November 9, 2009, as we commemorate the anniversary of the Fall of the Berlin Wall."

There may be a new wrinkle to the staff shakeup at the Washington Times that we reported earlier: the announcement of the promotion of Jonathan Slevin to the posts of acting publisher and president of the Washington Times comes just one day after the paper admitted that Slevin himself selected the person who wrote the paper's glowing book review of a book he coauthored, in violation of newspaper policy.

The book review is a year old -- though the clarification just ran in the Sunday newspaper. And executive editor John Solomon -- who may be leaving the newspaper along with three other top executives -- hasn't been seen at the newspaper since.

It's not clear that any fallout from this book review had anything to do with the staff shakeup. But the timing does seem a little coincidental.

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A new Los Angeles Times poll finds a tie in the California Republican Senate primary, with former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and state Rep. Chuck DeVore at 27% each, for the right to go up against Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer.

A whopping 40% of Republican primary voters were undecided, plus 4% who refused to answer and 2% who said they preferred another candidate. The take-away from this poll is that both candidates have a long way to go in building up their respective name identifications.

Expect both candidates to tout the big-name conservatives who are supporting them. DeVore is running an antiestablishment campaign, and has the endorsement of Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC). Fiorina has the backing of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-AZ), Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) -- for whom Fiorina had been a campaign surrogate during the 2008 presidential election - as well as the conservative hero Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK). (The NRSC itself is not backing Fiorina, but the endorsement of the top leaders in the caucus is a pretty strong statement.)

Did American University professor James Thurber ever sign on to act as an independent ethics adviser for astroturf lobbyist Jack Bonner, in the wake of the scandal over those forged letters to lawmakers on climate change? The two principals can't seem to agree.

Thurber has now backed out of the gig, after an ad he ran in Roll Call praising Bonner raised questions about how independent he could truly be. But how firm was the arrangement in the first place?

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