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The House GOP will lay down its marker late Tuesday with a dead-on-arrival plan called Cut, Cap, and Balance. It has dim prospects in the Senate and President Obama has threatened to veto it. So what's next?

[TPM SLIDESHOW: Debt Negotiations At The White House]

Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) claims that this plan -- radical though it is -- is the only plan that can pass the House of Representatives. At least for now.

"There are lots of ideas out there from Democrats and Republicans, but guess what?" Boehner told reporters at a Tuesday press conference in the Capitol. "None of them have a majority. This one has a majority."

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James O'Keefe -- who bragged that he had evidence of public employees giving assistance to individuals who presented themselves as drug dealers and terrorists -- has released a new video that goes after county workers in an Ohio strip mall.

O'Keefe's Project Veritas released the first of what it said is a series of videos exposing Medicaid fraud.

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Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) will make his first appearance in Gallup's 2012 presidential polling with strong numbers indicative of a campaign with room to compete at the top of the field, according to Gallup Editor In Chief Frank Newport.

When the numbers are released at 1 PM, Perry will be tied with Rep. Michelle Bachmann's 21% positive intensity rating, which measures the feelings voters who know about a candidate have about him or her. Bachmann is near the top of the pack in the rating, which is new in Gallup's presidential dataset this year. Former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain has led the poll in the past with a 23% positive intensity score.

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A new national survey from Public Policy Polling (D) has a shocking message for the Republican primary race: Michele Bachmann leads Mitt Romney in a two-way race, and also edges ahead in the multi-candidate race without Sarah Palin in it.

In an initial field, including Sarah Palin: Romney 20%, Bachmann 16%, Palin 12%, Perry 11%, Cain 10%, Paul 9%, Gingrich 6%, Pawlenty 5%, Huntsman 2%.

Then in a second question, without Palin in the race: Bachmann 21%, Romney 20%, Perry 12%, Cain 11%, Paul 9%, Gingrich 7%, Pawlenty 5%, and Huntsman 3%.

Finally, a two-way race with Bachmann and Romney: Bachmann 44%, Romney 41%.

In the previous poll from a month ago Bachmann was much further back in the low teens, and Herman Cain was the second-place candidate against Romney. There was no direct two-way question.

The survey of 730 likely GOP primary voters was conducted from July 15-17, and has a ±3.6% margin of error.

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Environmentalists' brief flirtation with Mitt Romney appears to be reaching its conclusion. The Republican presidential candidate told voters in New Hampshire on Tuesday that he does not believe carbon is a pollutant.

"We have made a mistake is what I believe, in saying that the EPA should regulate carbon emissions," he said. "I don't think that was the intent of the original legislation, and I don't think carbon is a pollutant in the sense of harming our bodies."

The EPA is currently drawing up new rules for carbon emissions, which an overwhelming consensus of scientists believe contribute to climate change, after the Supreme Court determined in 2007 that carbon was indeed a pollutant and worthy of regulation.

Romney has acknowledged recently that climate change is both real and man made, a move that drew praise from Al Gore given the Republican field's anti-science bent. His quote about carbon doesn't exactly reverse this position: he was very specific in saying carbon is not a direct threat to people's bodies in the sense that breathing it won't kill you. But scientists have clearly identified it as a massive indirect threat in that it causes climate change, which threatens millions of people around the globe with effects ranging from drought to rising seas.

By William New

If the free software movement is defined by its American founder as "free as in free speech, not as in free beer," perhaps the newly-emerged Open Hardware License created by a high-level research laboratory on the border of Switzerland and France could be conceptualized as: "not as in free champagne."

What remains is to see the degree of take-up from the private sector.

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If Republicans had their way, the Treasury Department wouldn't be granted the authority to issue new debt unless and until Congress -- two-thirds of both chambers -- sent a radically conservative Constitutional amendment off to the states for ratification.

That's what they'll spend Tuesday proving to voters -- particularly influential conservative leaders, who will be watching closely. In the House they'll pass legislation called the Cut, Cap, and Balance Act which imposes swift, deep spending cuts, and promises to raises the debt limit into 2013 if and only if scores of Democrats agree to a version of the Balanced Budget Amendment that basically forbids tax increases, and holds spending below historic lows.

That means the functional end of popular entitlement programs -- and that ain't gonna happen. So then it's on to another plan.

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The results are all in and Mitt Romney's prodigious fundraising has erased any doubts that, for all his weaknesses, the former Massachusetts governor is the only true frontrunner in the GOP primaries.

The Romney campaign's $18 million quarter easily overshadows rivals like Tim Pawlenty ($4.2 million) and Michele Bachmann ($4.2 million, about half from her Congressional campaign). But there is a cloud to the silver lining: Romney's cash advantage is overwhelmingly powered by big-money donors.

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On Monday Britain's Daily Telegraph reported that a Spanish lawyer named Daniel Fiol has petitioned the International Criminal Court (ICC) with a complaint against the U.S. president.

The reason? Fiol holds that Obama violated the Geneva Convention when he ordered the operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

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