TPM News

A new Mason Dixon poll shows Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) leading Bill Halter 44% to 32% in the Arkansas Democratic Senate primary.

The TPM Poll Average for the May 18 primary shows Lincoln leading Halter 45.2% to 31.8%.

Still, Halter has outraised Lincoln, with Halter bringing in nearly $580,000 between Apr. 1-28, his campaign told the AP. Lincoln's camp reported it raised just over $300,000 in the same period.

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The Gulf oil spill has been such a public relations catastrophe for BP that the oil giant now scores lower on a "buzz" index than even beleaguered automaker Toyota, according to consumer research outfit YouGov BrandIndex.

The company says it interviews 5,000 Americans each weekday and asks, among other things, "If you've heard anything about the brand in the last two weeks, was it positive or negative?"

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Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said in a statement today that passing a climate and energy bill this year is "impossible" after the Gulf oil spill and the Democrats' new push on immigration reform. Sens. John Kerry (D-MA) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT) apparently weren't listening.

Kerry and Lieberman released a statement today announcing their plan to roll out a climate and energy bill on Wednesday.

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The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the Illinois Senate race finds that Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias has fallen behind Republican Mark Kirk in the race for President Obama's former Senate seat, likely due to the collapse of Giannoulias's family bank. But at the same time, the underlying issue climate should be favorable to the Democrats here.

The numbers: Kirk 41%, Giannoulias 38%. The poll of likely voters has a ±4% margin of error. Back in late February, before the bank collapsed, Giannoulias was ahead by 43%-36%. The TPM Poll Average puts Kirk ahead by 41.9%-36.0%.

In addition, Giannoulias's favorable rating is only 38%, with 46% unfavorable, down from a 49%-34% favorable rating in late February. Kirk's rating is 39%-33%, not significantly changed from a 42%-35% rating in late February.

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It's probably a safe bet that if House Republican Leader John Boehner backs away from a conservative, terrorism-related bill called "TEA," the legislation both goes too far, and isn't going anywhere.

Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) captured big headlines, and interesting supporters, when he proposed the Terrorist Expatriation Act, which would amend current law to allow the State Department to revoke the citizenship of Americans they deem to be members of foreign terrorist organizations. Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) joined his push. So did House Democrat Jason Altmire, who hails from a competitive district in Pennsylvania.

But that's about all she wrote.

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The leader of a movement seeking to have President Obama indicted for treason told TPMmuckraker he was interviewed this week by the FBI.

Carl Swensson said that FBI agents, accompanied by state police, came to his Georgia home Wednesday asking for information about what law enforcement fears is a plan to take over a Tennessee judicial building. "They were concerned that we were gonna storm the courthouse," said Swensson.

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A new ABC/Washington Post poll finds some curious facts about Birthers, the people who think that President Obama was born in another country instead of in Hawaii. As it turns out, there is a divide between those who only suspect this to be the case, and those who think there is solid evidence -- and furthermore, some of them approve of his job performance.

As part of its general national survey of adults in late April, ABC/WaPo asked, "where was Barack Obama born, as far as you know?" The initial answer was 68% United States, 14% another country. ABC then pushed the undecideds, by asking for their best guess. After those leaners were pushed, the final result was 77% United States, 20% somewhere else.

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