Voters are headed to the polls today in Minnesota's Democratic gubernatorial primary. The party's chosen candidate, state House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher, is facing off against former state House Dem leader Matt Entenza and former Sen. Mark Dayton -- and is going to need some help to pull out a victory.
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The TPM Poll Average for the primary gives Dayton the lead with 41.0%, followed by Kelliher at 26.5%, and Entenza with 22.0%. The question, then, is whether the organized ground game of the state Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party -- as the Dems are called in Minnesota -- will be able to pull off a surprise for Kelliher despite the polls.
Minnesota political parties traditionally don't hold real primaries, but instead go through a system of precinct caucuses, county conventions and a state convention. If a candidate can get a 60% super-majority of delegates at the state convention, the party then officially endorses that candidate and the opponents are expected by custom to drop out. This is how presumptive Republican Tom Emmer won his nomination, for example, with tomorrow's primary a mere formality on the Republican side.
But it didn't work out quite so cleanly on the Democratic side.