A new national survey shows President Obama with a two point lead among registered voters. The poll broke out the results by method of contact, between landline telephones and cell phones, finding a large discrepancy.
Among respondents who use a home telephone (72% of registered voters), Romney leads by 6 points. Among respondents who do not use a home telephone (28% of registered voters), and who were contacted by SurveyUSA on their cell phone or other electronic device, Obama leads by 22 points. When the two populations are proportionally blended, Obama is up by 2 points, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error.
When Obama is paired head-to-head against Newt Gingrich, Obama is up by 11 points, 51% to 40%. Gingrich trails Obama only by 2 points among respondents who use a home telephone, but trails by 35 points among respondents who do not use a home telephone. When the two populations are proportionally blended, Obama is up by 11.
