A new poll conducted by United Technologies for the National Journal shows a double digit lead for Democrats on the generic congressional ballot test, which asks voters which party they would like to control Congress. Democrats are the choice of 48 percent, while Republicans get 37 percent of voters. It’s a large gap for Democrats compared their scores over the last few months — Dems have lead in various polls, but only by a few points, as its mostly been an even race.
The movement seems to stem from congressional Republicans falling down with with the political middle. “In late October, the two parties were virtually tied on that question, with Democrats holding a statistically insignificant 2-point advantage,” National Journal wrote. “The poll shows Democrats performing better among independent voters. Obama leads among this key group by 5 points, and independents preferred a Democratic-controlled House by an 8-point margin.”
The current TPM Poll Average shows an incredibly close contest on the metric, with Democrats holding on to a lead less than a percentage point.
