President Obama is on the last day of a three-day bus tour through Iowa, a swing state that is part of an alternative electoral strategy involving smaller states, First Read reports.
If Obama holds the Kerry-won 2004 states, including New Hampshire, and Obama adds Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico — with a good turnout among Hispanics in the West — he would be at 272, two electoral votes above the needed 270 to win reelection.
But without Iowa or New Hampshire that second path evaporates.
In other words, Obama can win without Ohio or Florida, if he does better in small states and in the West. Even though Iowa only has six electoral votes, it could be key to a win.
Obama will campaign this weekend in New Hampshire.