Democratic nominee Elizabeth Colbert Busch holds a slight lead over former Gov. Mark Sanford in the race for the open House seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, according to a poll commissioned by Cobert Busch's campaign Monday. Sanford is expected to win a primary run-off for the Republican nomination on Tuesday against former County Councilor Curtis Bostic.
The poll, conducted by the Democratic Lake Research Partners, shows Colbert Busch leading Sanford 47 percent to 44 percent, a lead that is within the poll's margin of error. In a potential match-up against Bostic, the poll puts Colbert Busch's lead at 48 percent to 39 percent.
The poll also found Colbert Busch with a higher favorability (48 percent favorable to 24 percent unfavorable) than either of her potential Republican challengers despite the Republican leaning of the District.
"Voters in the 1st district respond well to Colbert-Busch’s local roots and life of overcoming adversity, eventually becoming a job creator dedicated to being the independent voice of South Carolina," the Lake Research analysis reads. "This race will be very close and competitive no matter whom the Republican victor is on Tuesday."
The poll of 500 likely voters was conducted between March 25-27 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.