A new poll of the Mississippi Republican primary from American Research Group shows former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with a four point lead ahead of Tuesday’s vote. Gingrich sees 35 percent, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is second in the state with 31 percent, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum gets 20 and Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) seven.
ARG points out that Gingrich is locking down the cruical right wing in their numbers, and that his lead is slightly bigger among those who are definately going to show up on March 13th. From their analysis:
Gingrich leads Romney 37% to 30% among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the March 6 primary, followed by Santorum with 17% and Paul with 5%. Romney leads Santorum 40% to 20% among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Paul with 18% and Gingrich with 13%.
Gingrich leads with 49% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 24%, Santorum with 17%, and Paul with 5%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 39%, followed by Santorum with 24%, Gingrich with 17%, and Paul with 10%.
