The new Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling (D) survey of the upcoming OR-01 special election in Oregon, to replace the scandal-plagued Democratic former Rep. David Wu, shows the Dem candidate posting a double-digit lead.
The numbers: Democratic state Sen. Suzanne Bonamici 52%, Republican businessman and 2010 nominee Rob Cornilles 41%. The survey of likely voters was conducted from December 13-14, and has a ±3.1% margin of error. The election will be on January 31.
Recently, news that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was reserving over $1 million in ad time led to some speculation that there could be trouble in this usually solid Democratic seat — similar to how Dems had also lost the previously safe NY-09 district, when Rep. Anthony Weiner resigned after a sex scandal. But this poll suggests that this is not the case.
The poll’s follow-up questions indicate that the district still has a definite Democratic lean. Here are just a few of them:
Would you prefer that the new representative from your district caucused with the Democrats or the Republicans in Congress?
Democrats 50%, Republicans 39%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve 49%, Disapprove 46%
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
Obama 55%, Gingrich 37%
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
Obama 53%, Romney 40%
