Opinions, Context & Ideas from the TPM Editors TPM Editor's Blog

Still Not Ready for Prime Time

TPM Reader DM checks in from Texas ...

I wanted to throw this little story your way, because it jives well with the lack of a ground game angle.

Apparently, Donald Trump is coming to the Dallas/Fort Worth area tomorrow. He is planning on holding a rally in Irving. Irving should be prime Trump territory, where they arrest 13 year old muslim boys for building home-made clocks, and the mayor is a very outspoken Islamophobe. But Irving today rejected the Trump campaigns request to hold a rally here tomorrow because his campaign didn’t bother to ask the city until yesterday! Irving PD says it needs more than 48 hours to prepare for an event like a Trump rally.

Way to go guys.

A Heavily Leveraged Property

Look at the PollTracker Average and Hillary Clinton's margin over Donald Trump has been on the upswing for almost a month. We now put her at 6.2 percentage points ahead of Trump if the election were held today. Of course, the election is not being held today. And we are told, always rightly, that we shouldn't read too much into June polls of a November election. But there's a significant addendum to that conventional wisdom when it comes to Donald Trump. Like a highly leveraged business that does great as long as it's doing well but can collapse under the weight of debt if anything goes wrong, Trump is uniquely dependent on winning poll numbers.

Read More →


Day after day we get emails from readers who are convinced that Donald Trump doesn't really want to be the nominee and is looking for a way to get out of the race. RCP's Carl Cannon says Trump actually does want to lose, though he seems to be talking more about subconscious wish fulfillment than an actual plan to throw the election. Or perhaps he's prepping to get out at some critical moment and hand the nomination over to some more electable candidate. Or perhaps - though much less over the last 48 hours - we hear from commentators that Trump is still getting ready to pivot to the general election.

Read More →

Freeing the Internet: Obama's third greatest accomplishment in his 2nd term

President Barack Obama’s third greatest accomplishment in his second term – after the Iran nuclear deal and the Paris climate accord – may be his decision in October 2014 to back the idea that the Federal Communications Commission should be able to regulate internet providers the same way it regulates phone companies. The FCC’s Democratic majority, following Obama’s lead, used this principle to rule that the providers not be able to discriminate among content providers. They have to provide “net neutrality.” And today an Appeals Court, which had ruled against prior attempts to enforce net neutrality, has backed up the FCC’s decision. Here’s what is at stake, and why it’s important.

Read More →

Ummm ... Wait a Second

I'm curious about this third graf in the WaPo report on Russian hacking into the DNC networks ...

The intrusion into the DNC was one of several targeting American political organizations. The networks of presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump were also targeted by Russian spies, as were the computers of some GOP political action committees, U.S. officials said. But details on those cases were not available.

It seems like this went well beyond the DNC. But only DNC officials were willing to discuss it?

Matteen Was Regular at Gay Club

A new thread in the story of Orlando gunman Omar Mateen. According to multiple patrons of Pulse, the gay club that was the scene of the massacre, Mateen was in fact a regular at the club and also maintained a profile on at least one gay dating app. The reporting, by the LA Times and the Orlando Sentinel is not clear on whether Mateen had sex with other men or whether he was somehow casing the establishment in preparation for his attack. But at least two parts of the story suggests there was more going on than just preparing for the attack.

Read More →

Trump wants to ban Muslim immigrants to protect gay and women's rights

In his speech today at Saint Anselm College in New Hampshire, Donald Trump advocated banning Muslims from the Middle East and South Asia from emigrating to the United States. That’s a step down from his plan last December to block all Muslims from entering the United States, but it would still put the United States on a war footing with Muslims and also put the American state in the business of judging churches. In addition, Trump sounded an ominous note by insinuating (without evidence) that American Muslims were aware of the terrorists in their midst, but were not reporting them to authorities.

Read More →