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Trump's Razor Will Cut You Up

In the novel we're currently living in, this would be an unrealistic plot development. The editor would strike it from the narrative. But Donald Trump has no editor. So this is happening. Trump is hiring Bill Stepien, a central, directly implicated and almost immediately fired, figure in the Christie Bridgegate scandal as his national field director. Yes, that's happening. And yes, you're supposed to have a national field director before late August. And quite possibly, yes, this means the Trump field campaign will focus on engineering a crippling election day traffic jam in every black neighborhood in the country.

Full story momentarily.

Breaking: Trump Has No Campaign Manager

This is far from the biggest problem plaguing Donald Trump's campaign. But as we get into the thick of the fall campaign, it's worth noting. Kellyanne Conway now carries the label campaign manager. But that does not appear to be what she's doing. Campaign Manager's seldom make many press appearances. Frequently they're almost totally invisible to the public. In part that's because it's a different skill set. But the bigger issue is that being campaign manager requires a huge investment of time. You simply don't have time to do the job well making constant TV appearances - especially self-destructive, or at least campaign self-destructive appearances like Conway's appearance on Rachel Maddow's show.

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Ailes

From Sarah Ellison's latest report on the Ailes' scandal ...

In less than two weeks, however, [Ailes] was out. The wooden door that famously cordoned his office suite from prying eyes was removed. Within, two handguns were discovered—one a Glock, the other a Smith & Wesson—with ammunition for both. (“Roger has a permit for those two guns,” Ailes’s attorney, Susan Estrich, told me, adding that her client has a license to carry a handgun in New York, “for his personal protection.” She continued: “Those guns are licensed and appropriate.” Ailes has repeatedly denied all allegations of sexual harassment.)

That's a Lead

I've mentioned a number of times recently the significant divergence between the national campaign numbers coming from the online tracking polls, often newcomers to the field, and the more traditional premium phone polls. Quinnipiac has had a somewhat GOP leaning sampling approach in the last couple cycles. But their new poll out today puts Clinton 10 points ahead of Trump. Meanwhile the TPM Electoral Scoreboard remains at Clinton 326, Trump 165.

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