Where Things Stand


Last week I posted snapshots of the Democratic races in Ohio and Texas, using Pollster.com’s poll of polls.

At that time, Obama had passed Hillary for the first time in the Texas race and was trending upward. But look what’s happened since:

Obama is now ahead by a mere .2 percentage points in Texas, and it seems clear that the race there has been scrambled in the last few days.

In Ohio, the graph of Obama’s steep climb suggests more movement perhaps than there has actually been in the most recent polls (with the exception of Zogby):

Overall, Clinton holds a 6-point lead in Ohio going into tomorrow’s election.

Clinton supporters rally around memories of her miracle comeback in New Hampshire. Obama supporters cherish the memory of his breaking wide open what appeared to be a close race in Wisconsin. Which will it be? A comeback or a runaway? Or neither?


David Kurtz is Managing Editor and Washington Bureau Chief of Talking Points Memo where he oversees the news operations of TPM and its sister sites.