What the Numbers Say

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I’ve mentioned in several contexts that the one lesson Dems seem to have internalized almost universally is that starting on health care but not passing a bill would be catastrophic in political terms — quite apart from the policy consequences. This new poll from PPP gives some concrete evidence that that’s the case.

Currently PPP has the Dems with a 8 point margin on the ‘generic ballot’. If they pass a bill with a public option, the margin drops to 5 points. If they pass nothing at all it falls to dead even.

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