We’ll have a more detailed report on this later this morning. But while the polls themselves still show the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary basically too close to call, over the last three or four days it seems pretty much everyone has decided that Specter cannot win: the Republicans, the White House, all the pundits, etc.
Now to a great degree, they’re just following what the polls are telling them. And as you can see from the trend graph, even though it’s still basically a margin of error race, all the movement has been in Sestak’s direction. That late close you see on Sestak’s side is always a very bad sign for the other guy in the race. Still, Specter does have the state Democratic machine on his side. And normally you’d think that would count for something. But what’s struck me most in the last couple of days is that the people who run that machine or are in the best position to know it’s strengths don’t seem to think it’s going to be enough.
