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At TPMMuckraker we’ve been on the Palin/Trooper-gate story for a while. And we’ve just reported that the investigation by the state legislature is scheduled to report its findings in the first couple days of November.

This is a perilous story for Palin and McCain. I flagged some of the details earlier in the day. But this is the kind of story, the kind of investigation, where it is highly unlikely that Palin hasn’t made public false statements about her involvement in what happened. I think that’s generous. As always in cases like this, the question is whether anyone can prove it. There are a couple investigations — one under the auspices of the state legislature and another of the state Attorney General, which she either supported or ‘requested’. That latter investigation already surfaced taped phone calls that forced Palin walk back her original denials and admit that her aides had pressed for the firings, just without her knowledge.

Using the power of the government to settle scores with estranged relatives or associates is far from unprecedented. There are probably several similar investigations going on in other states as we speak. But I doubt very much that they were prepared for the heat of full bore national media scrutiny on this one. And in this case you not only the underlying act, which is sleazy, but the high probability that Palin is lying about her role.

Late Update: And special bonus: after the firing that got her administration into trouble, Palin replaced him with another guy who’d recently been hit with a credible sexual harassment accusation. Palin later admitted that she knew about the complaint in advance but denied that she knew of the letter of reprimand he’d received.

He lasted two weeks on the job.

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